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NWS Holdings (HKG:659) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NWS Holdings (HKG:659) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

新创建控股(HKG:659)有债务但没有盈利;你应该担心吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/08 20:46

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that NWS Holdings Limited (HKG:659) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到新创建集团有限公司(HKG:659)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

See our latest analysis for NWS Holdings

查看我们对新创建控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does NWS Holdings Carry?

新创建控股背负着多少债务?

As you can see below, NWS Holdings had HK$20.1b of debt at December 2021, down from HK$25.4b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$28.2b in cash, so it actually has HK$8.05b net cash.

如下所示,截至2021年12月,新创建控股的债务为201亿港元,低于一年前的254亿港元。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有282亿港元的现金,因此它实际上拥有80.5亿港元的净现金。

SEHK:659 Debt to Equity History May 9th 2022
联交所:659债转股历史2022年5月9日

How Healthy Is NWS Holdings' Balance Sheet?

新创建控股的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that NWS Holdings had liabilities of HK$51.5b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$40.9b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$28.2b as well as receivables valued at HK$8.78b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$55.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,新创建控股有515亿港元的负债在一年内到期,而409亿港元的负债在一年内到期。该公司有282亿港元现金及价值87.8亿港元的应收账款于12个月内到期,以抵销这些债务。因此,该公司的负债总额为555亿港元,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$27.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, NWS Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. NWS Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NWS Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这一不足给这家市值274亿港元的公司本身带来了沉重的负担,就像一个孩子在一个装满书籍、运动装备和小号的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,我们肯定认为股东需要密切关注这一事件。毕竟,如果新创建控股今天不得不偿还债权人的债务,它很可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。新创建控股拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担,即使它总共有非常重大的债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定新创建控股能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, NWS Holdings reported revenue of HK$30b, which is a gain of 18%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在过去12个月中,新创建控股公布的收入为300亿港元,增长18%,尽管该公司没有公布任何息税前收益。这种增长速度对我们的品味来说有点慢,但它需要所有类型的人来创造一个世界。

So How Risky Is NWS Holdings?

那么,新创建控股的风险有多大呢?

Although NWS Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of HK$1.9b. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NWS Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

虽然新创建控股在过去12个月录得息税前盈利(EBIT)亏损,但其法定盈利为港币19亿元。因此,从表面上看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不是很大。考虑到未来收入(和现金流)缺乏透明度,我们对这款产品感到紧张,直到它做出第一笔大销售。对我们来说,这是一场高风险的比赛。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。请注意,新创建控股在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个不太受我们欢迎……

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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