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Jiangsu Libert (SHSE:605167) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Jiangsu Libert (SHSE:605167) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

江苏解放(上海证券交易所代码:605167)强劲的利润可能掩盖了一些潜在的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 18:57

The recent earnings posted by Jiangsu Libert INC. (SHSE:605167) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

最近发布的收益为江苏自由股份有限公司。(上海证券交易所股票代码:605167)表现稳健,但股价走势没有我们预期的那么大。然而,法定利润数字并不能说明全部情况,我们发现了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Libert

查看我们对江苏自由的最新分析

SHSE:605167 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2022
上海证交所:605167收益和收入历史2022年5月6日

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Libert's Earnings

近距离观察江苏自由报的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Jiangsu Libert recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥146m despite its profit of CN¥110.1m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥146m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2022年3月的12个月内,江苏自由录得应计比率为0.32。因此,我们可以推断,它的自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这表明我们在加大对后者的重视之前,可能需要三思而后行。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为1.101亿元,但仍流出1.46亿元。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会怀疑,该公司今年1.46亿加元的现金消耗是否意味着高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Libert.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对江苏自由的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu Libert's Profit Performance

我们对江苏自由的盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Jiangsu Libert's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Jiangsu Libert's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Libert you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys is concerning.

正如我们上面讨论的,我们认为江苏自由的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为江苏自由的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。遗憾的是,在过去的12个月里,它的每股收益一直在下降。当然,当谈到分析其收益时,我们只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。举个例子:我们发现了江苏解放的三个警示信号,你应该注意,其中一个坏男孩令人担忧。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jiangsu Libert's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了一个数据点,以更好地了解江苏自由石油的利润性质。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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