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What Hing Ming Holdings Limited's (HKG:8425) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Hing Ming Holdings Limited's (HKG:8425) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

兴明控股有限公司(HKG:8425)27%的股价涨幅没有告诉你什么
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 18:56

Those holding Hing Ming Holdings Limited (HKG:8425) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 71% share price drop in the last twelve months.

持有者兴明集团有限公司(HKG:8425)股价在过去30天里反弹了27%,股价会松一口气,但它需要继续努力修复最近对投资者投资组合造成的损害。尽管如此,30天的涨幅并没有改变这样一个事实,即较长期股东的股票在过去12个月里因股价下跌71%而大幅下挫。

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Hing Ming Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

由于兴明股价飙升,鉴于香港近半数公司的市盈率(本益比)低于9倍,你可能会认为兴明控股是一只完全避免上市的股票,其市盈率为34.1倍。尽管如此,我们还需要更深入地挖掘,以确定市盈率大幅上升是否有合理的基础。

Hing Ming Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

兴明控股最近确实做得很好,因为它一直在以非常快的速度增长收益。市盈率之所以高,可能是因为投资者认为,这种强劲的盈利增长在不久的将来将足以跑赢大盘。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到有点紧张。

View our latest analysis for Hing Ming Holdings

查看我们对兴明控股的最新分析

SEHK:8425 Price Based on Past Earnings May 6th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hing Ming Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
联交所:8425基于过去收益的价格2022年5月6日我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以查看我们对兴明控股收益、收入和现金流的免费报告,看看最近的趋势是如何为公司未来奠定基础的。

Is There Enough Growth For Hing Ming Holdings?

兴明控股是否有足够的增长空间?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hing Ming Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该远远超过市场,像兴明控股这样的市盈率才是合理的。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 350%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 70% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我们回顾过去一年的收益增长,该公司公布了350%的惊人增长。尽管最近增长强劲,但它仍在努力追赶,因为其三年期每股收益总体上令人沮丧地缩水了70%。因此,公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说是不可取的。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

与预计未来12个月将实现17%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期收益结果,该公司的下行势头令人警醒。

In light of this, it's alarming that Hing Ming Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鉴于此,兴明控股的市盈率高于其他大多数公司,这是令人担忧的。似乎大多数投资者都忽视了最近糟糕的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近盈利趋势的延续最终可能会对股价造成沉重压力。

What We Can Learn From Hing Ming Holdings' P/E?

我们可以从兴明控股的市盈率中学到什么?

The strong share price surge has got Hing Ming Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

强劲的股价飙升也推动兴明控股的市盈率飙升。通常,在做出投资决策时,我们会告诫不要过度解读市盈率,尽管它可以充分揭示其他市场参与者对该公司的看法。

Our examination of Hing Ming Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们对兴明控股的调查显示,考虑到股市的增长,该公司中期收益的缩水对其高市盈率的影响并不像我们预期的那么大。当我们看到盈利出现倒退,表现逊于市场预期时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,导致高市盈率走低。如果近期的中期盈利趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

You need to take note of risks, for example - Hing Ming Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

例如,你需要注意风险--兴明控股有3个警告信号(其中1个是有关的),我们认为你应该知道。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hing Ming Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

当然了,你也许还能找到比兴明控股更好的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费市盈率低于20倍、盈利增长强劲的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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