share_log

Shanghai Wondertek Software's (SHSE:603189) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

Shanghai Wondertek Software's (SHSE:603189) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

上海旺德泰克软件(上海证券交易所股票代码:603189)的股东们需要担心的不仅仅是低迷的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 18:34

Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603189) weak earnings were disregarded by the market. Despite the market responding positively, we think that there are several concerning factors that investors should be aware of.

上海旺德泰克软件有限公司(上海证券交易所:603189)疲弱的盈利被市场忽视。尽管市场反应积极,但我们认为有几个令人担忧的因素值得投资者注意。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Wondertek Software

查看我们对上海Wondertek软件的最新分析

SHSE:603189 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2022
上海证交所:603189收益和收入历史2022年5月6日

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Wondertek Software's Earnings

考察现金流与上海旺德泰克软件公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Shanghai Wondertek Software recorded an accrual ratio of 0.38. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥208m despite its profit of CN¥67.7m, mentioned above. We also note that Shanghai Wondertek Software's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥208m. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.

在截至2022年3月的12个月内,上海旺德泰克软件的应计比率为0.38。从统计上讲,这对未来的收益是一个真正的负面影响。换句话说,该公司在那段时间没有产生一分钱的自由现金流。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为6770万元,但仍流出2.08亿元。我们还注意到,上海旺德泰克软件去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东是否对其流出的2.08亿元人民币感到困扰。对股东来说,不幸的是,该公司也一直在发行新股,稀释了他们在未来收益中的份额。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Wondertek Software.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海旺德泰克软件的资产负债表分析。

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Shanghai Wondertek Software expanded the number of shares on issue by 22% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Shanghai Wondertek Software's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

评估收益质量的一个重要方面是看一家公司在多大程度上稀释了股东的权益。上海旺德泰克软件公司去年将发行的股票数量扩大了22%。因此,每股现在获得的利润份额较小。谈论净利润,而不注意每股收益,就是被大数字分散注意力,而忽略了与之交谈的较小数字每股价值。点击此链接,查看上海旺德泰克软件的历史每股收益增长情况。

A Look At The Impact Of Shanghai Wondertek Software's Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

看看上海旺德泰克软件的稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响。

As you can see above, Shanghai Wondertek Software has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 165% over three years. But EPS was only up 112% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 13% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 22%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

正如你在上面看到的,上海旺德泰克软件在过去的几年里一直在增长其净收入,三年来的年化收益为165%。但在完全相同的时期,每股收益仅增长了112%。净利润在过去12个月里下降了13%。然而,对股东来说不幸的是,每股收益结果更糟糕,下降了22%。因此,稀释对股东回报的影响是值得注意的。

If Shanghai Wondertek Software's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果上海Wondertek Software的每股收益能够随着时间的推移而增长,那么这将极大地提高股价向同一方向变动的可能性。但另一方面,当我们得知利润(但不是每股收益)改善时,我们就不会那么兴奋了。对于普通散户股东来说,EPS是检查你假设的公司利润份额的一个很好的措施。

Our Take On Shanghai Wondertek Software's Profit Performance

我们对上海Wondertek软件盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Wondertek Software has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai Wondertek Software's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shanghai Wondertek Software at this point in time. Be aware that Shanghai Wondertek Software is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is significant...

总而言之,相对于盈利,上海旺德泰克软件的现金流较弱,这表明盈利质量较低,而稀释意味着股东现在持有的公司比例较小(假设他们保持相同的股份数量)。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼上海旺德泰克软件的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但考虑到上海旺德泰克软件公司目前面临的风险也同样重要。请注意,上海旺德泰克软件在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警告信号,其中1个是重要的…

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发