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DIT Group's (HKG:726) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

DIT Group's (HKG:726) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

DIT集团(HKG:726)股东需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/05 19:57

DIT Group Limited's (HKG:726) stock showed strength after its weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

DIT集团有限公司的(HKG:726)在疲弱的盈利报告后,股票表现强劲。我们认为,股东可能遗漏了我们分析发现的一些令人担忧的因素。

View our latest analysis for DIT Group

查看我们对DIT集团的最新分析

SEHK:726 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2022
联交所:726盈利及收入历史2022年5月5日

A Closer Look At DIT Group's Earnings

仔细看看DIT集团的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

For the year to December 2021, DIT Group had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$808m despite its profit of HK$132.4m, mentioned above. We also note that DIT Group's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$808m. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.

在截至2021年12月的一年中,DIT集团的应计比率为0.21。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其公布的利润。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为1.324亿港元,但仍有8.08亿港元的流出。我们还注意到,DIT集团去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否对其8.08亿港元的资金外流感到困扰。值得注意的是,该公司发行了新股,从而稀释了现有股东的股份,并减少了他们在未来收益中的份额。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of DIT Group.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对DIT集团的资产负债表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, DIT Group increased the number of shares on issue by 11% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of DIT Group's EPS by clicking here.

要了解一家公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑对股东利益的任何稀释。事实上,DIT集团通过发行新股,在过去12个月中将发行的股票数量增加了11%。因此,它的净利润现在被更多的股票瓜分。谈论净利润,而不注意每股收益,就是被大数字分散注意力,而忽略了与之交谈的较小数字每股价值。点击此处可以看到DIT集团每股收益图表。

How Is Dilution Impacting DIT Group's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

稀释对DIT集团的每股收益有何影响?(每股收益)

As you can see above, DIT Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 386% over three years. Net income was down 17% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 18%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

正如你在上面看到的,DIT集团在过去几年中一直在增长其净收入,三年来的年化收益为386%。净利润在过去12个月里下降了17%。然而,对股东来说不幸的是,每股收益结果更糟糕,下降了18%。因此,你可以非常清楚地看到,稀释正在影响股东收益。

If DIT Group's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果DIT集团的每股收益能够随着时间的推移而增长,那么这将极大地提高股价向同一方向移动的可能性。然而,如果其利润增加,而每股收益持平(甚至下降),那么股东可能看不到太多好处。对于普通散户股东来说,EPS是检查你假设的公司利润份额的一个很好的措施。

Our Take On DIT Group's Profit Performance

我们对DIT集团利润表现的看法

In conclusion, DIT Group has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). Considering all this we'd argue DIT Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about DIT Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for DIT Group (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.

总而言之,DIT集团的现金流相对于收益较弱,这表明收益质量较低,稀释意味着股东现在持有的公司比例较小(假设他们保持相同的股份数量)。考虑到这一切,我们认为DIT集团的利润可能给人一种过于慷慨的印象,表明其可持续的盈利水平。如果你想更多地了解DIT集团的业务,了解它面临的任何风险是很重要的。例如,我们为DIT集团确定了5个你应该熟悉的警告信号(2个让我们不舒服)。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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