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Why Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's (SHSE:600234) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's (SHSE:600234) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么广和山水文化传播(上海证券交易所代码:600234)收益不稳定只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/05 19:44

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600234) the stock price made a strong positive move. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

在发布了平淡无奇的收益报告后,广合山水文化传播有限公司。(上海证券交易所:600234)股价出现了强劲的利好走势。我们研究了细节,我们认为投资者可能是在对一些令人鼓舞的因素做出反应。

View our latest analysis for Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication

查看我们对广河山水文化传播的最新分析

SHSE:600234 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2022
上海证券交易所:600234收益和收入历史2022年5月5日

A Closer Look At Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Earnings

细看广河山水文化传播的盈利

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to December 2021. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥12.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥132m in the last year. It's worth noting that Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication generated positive FCF of CN¥27m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to consider. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively.

截至2021年12月止年度,广和山水文化传播的应计比率为0.33。因此,我们可以推断,它的自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这表明我们在加大对后者的重视之前,可能需要三思而后行。尽管它报告了1260万加元的利润,但看看自由现金流就会发现,它在去年实际上烧掉了1.32亿加元。值得注意的是,广河山水文化传播一年前产生了2700万元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。话虽如此,还有更多需要考虑的问题。我们可以看看损益表中的不寻常项目是如何影响其应计比率的,也可以探索稀释是如何对股东产生负面影响的。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们广河山水文化传播的资产负债表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication expanded the number of shares on issue by 30% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

要了解一家公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑对股东利益的任何稀释。广和山水文化传播在去年的基础上扩大了30%的发行数量。因此,每股现在获得的利润份额较小。在庆祝净利润的同时忽视稀释,就像是因为你只有一片更大的披萨而感到高兴,但忽略了披萨现在被切成更多片的事实。点击此链接,查看广河山水文化传播的历史每股收益增长。

A Look At The Impact Of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

看广和山水文化传播稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响。

Three years ago, Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication lost money. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 78%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 80% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

三年前,广和山水文化传播亏损。即使是去年,利润仍下降了78%。可悲的是,收入每股进一步下跌,降下来在那段时间里足足有80%。因此,你可以看到,股权稀释对股东产生了相当大的影响。

If Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果广和山水文化传播的每股收益能够随着时间的推移而增长,那么这将极大地提高股价向同一方向移动的机会。但另一方面,当我们得知利润(但不是每股收益)改善时,我们就不会那么兴奋了。对于普通散户股东来说,EPS是检查你假设的公司利润份额的一个很好的措施。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥6.4m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

广和山水文化传播的利润受到异常项目的影响,在过去的12个月里利润减少了640万元。在这种情况下,这是一个非现金费用,它会更容易有较高的现金转换率,所以令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。虽然最初由于不寻常的项目而扣除的金额令人失望,但也有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。如果广和山水文化传播没有看到这些不寻常的支出重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其来年的利润将会增加。

Our Take On Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Profit Performance

浅谈广河山水文化传播的盈利表现

Summing up, Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, and its accrual ratio indicates a lack of free cash flow relative to profit. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. Based on these factors, we think that Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's statutory profits probably make it seem better than it is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication you should be mindful of and 1 of these makes us a bit uncomfortable.

综上所述,广和山水文化传播的异常项目表明其法定收益暂时低迷,其应计比率表明相对于利润缺乏自由现金流。而稀释意味着每股收益比底线可能暗示的要弱。基于这些因素,我们认为,广和山水文化传播的法定利润可能会让它看起来比潜在层面上的情况要好。请记住,在分析一只股票时,值得注意其中的风险。举个例子:我们发现了广河山水文化传播的4个警示标志,其中1个让我们有点不舒服。

Our examination of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对广河山水文化传播的考察集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让广河山水文化传播的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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