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We Think That There Are Some Issues For Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688001) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688001) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

我们认为,苏州HYC科技有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688001)除了盈利前景看好之外,还有一些问题
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 23:01

Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688001) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

苏州HYC科技有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688001)近期强劲的收益并未对股价产生太大影响。然而,法定利润数字并不能说明全部情况,我们发现了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。

View our latest analysis for Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd

查看我们对苏州HYC科技有限公司的最新分析

SHSE:688001 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2022
上海证券交易所:688001收益和收入历史2022年5月5日

Zooming In On Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's Earnings

放大苏州HYC科技有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to March 2022, Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥244m despite its profit of CN¥326.6m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥181m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2022年3月,苏州HYC科技有限公司的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们可以推断,它的自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为3.266亿元,但仍流出2.44亿元。值得注意的是,苏州HYC科技有限公司一年前产生了1.81亿元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。应计比率反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上是这样。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥28m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了2800万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。如果苏州HYC科技有限公司没有看到这种贡献再次出现,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计该公司今年的利润将会下降。

Our Take On Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对苏州HYC科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

苏州HYC科技有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到了不寻常项目的提振。考虑到这一切,我们认为苏州HYC科技有限公司的利润可能给人一种过于慷慨的印象,表明其可持续的盈利水平。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,考虑它面临的任何风险是至关重要的。为此,你应该了解我们在苏州HYC科技有限公司发现的3个警告信号(包括让我们有点不舒服的1个)。

Our examination of Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对苏州HYC科技有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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