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Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) investors are sitting on a loss of 24% if they invested five years ago

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) investors are sitting on a loss of 24% if they invested five years ago

重庆农村商业银行(HKG:3618)投资者如果在五年前投资,将损失24%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 19:52

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:3618) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade.

选股的主要目的是寻找跑赢大盘的股票。但几乎可以肯定的是,每个投资者都会同时拥有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。所以我们不会责怪长期重庆农村商业银行股份有限公司。(HKG:3618)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了41%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得关注的是,该公司的潜在基本面是长期业绩的驱动力,还是存在一些差异。

See our latest analysis for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

请看我们对重庆农村商业银行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.01% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 10% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 2.92.

在股价下跌的五年里,重庆农村商业银行的每股收益(EPS)每年下降0.01%。每股收益的这一降幅低于该公司股价每年10%的降幅。这暗示市场此前对该股过于乐观。这种不那么有利的情绪反映在其目前2.92的市盈率上。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来揭示确切的值)。

SEHK:3618 Earnings Per Share Growth May 4th 2022
联交所:3618每股盈利增长2022年5月4日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。在买卖股票之前,我们总是建议仔细检查一下历史增长趋势,可在此处找到。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's TSR for the last 5 years was -24%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,重庆农村商业银行最近5年的TSR为-24%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 0.9% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 21%. What is more upsetting is the 4% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. Before forming an opinion on Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

虽然亏损从来都不是好事,但重庆农村商业银行股东可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去12个月0.9%的亏损没有市场亏损21%左右那么糟糕。更令人沮丧的是,投资者在过去五年里遭受了每年4%的损失。这种股价走势并不特别鼓舞人心,但至少损失正在放缓。在对重庆农村商业银行形成看法之前,你可能会考虑一下它支付的冷酷现金作为股息。这免费图表跟踪了其一段时间的股息。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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