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Why Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301072) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301072) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么中捷(江苏)科技有限公司(SZSE:301072)的疲软收益只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 18:57

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301072) stock wasn't much affected by its recent lackluster earnings numbers. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

中捷(江苏)科技有限公司(SZSE:301072)近期低迷的盈利数据对股市影响不大。我们做了一些分析,发现了法定利润数字下的一些相关细节。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd

查看我们对中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:301072 Earnings and Revenue History May 4th 2022
深圳证交所:301072盈利和收入历史2022年5月4日

Zooming In On Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's Earnings

放大中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。这个比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过了它的FCF的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

For the year to March 2022, Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥40.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥93m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥93m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2022年3月的一年,中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的应计比率为0.25。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其公布的利润。尽管该公司报告利润为4060万加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了9300万加元。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会怀疑,该公司今年9300万加元的现金消耗是否意味着高风险。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。应计比率反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上是这样。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对中杰(江苏)科技有限公司的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.8m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考虑到应计比率,中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的利润在过去12个月里被价值980万元的不寻常项目提振也就不足为奇了。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。中捷(江苏)科技有限公司在截至2022年3月的利润中,异常项目做出了相当大的贡献。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的项目使其法定利润比其他情况下要强劲得多。

Our Take On Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对中捷(江苏)科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd (including 1 which is significant).

综上所述,中捷(江苏)科技有限公司从异常项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但账面利润与自由现金流不匹配。考虑到这一切,我们认为中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的利润可能给人一种过于慷慨的印象,表明其可持续的盈利水平。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,考虑它面临的任何风险是至关重要的。为此,你应该了解一下我们在中杰(江苏)科技有限公司发现的3个警告信号(其中1个是重要的)。

Our examination of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对中捷(江苏)科技有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让公司的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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