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Is Yashili International Holdings (HKG:1230) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Yashili International Holdings (HKG:1230) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

雅士利国际控股(HKG:1230)是否以一种冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 18:28

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Yashili International Holdings Ltd (HKG:1230) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们可以看到雅士利国际控股有限公司(HKG:1230)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

See our latest analysis for Yashili International Holdings

查看我们对雅士利国际控股的最新分析

What Is Yashili International Holdings's Net Debt?

雅士利国际控股的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Yashili International Holdings had CN¥320.8m of debt in December 2021, down from CN¥365.9m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.13b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.81b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,雅士利国际控股在2021年12月的债务为3.208亿加元,低于一年前的3.659亿加元。但另一方面,它也拥有21.3亿元人民币的现金,导致人民币18.1亿元的净现金头寸。

SEHK:1230 Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022
联交所:1230债转股历史2022年5月4日

How Strong Is Yashili International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

雅士利国际控股的资产负债表有多强劲?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yashili International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥40.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.13b as well as receivables valued at CN¥444.7m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥819.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据可以看到,雅士利国际控股有17.1亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,还有4030万加元的负债在12个月内到期。为了抵消这些债务,该公司有21.3亿加元的现金以及价值4.447亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有8.195亿元人民币更多流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Yashili International Holdings is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Yashili International Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yashili International Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这一盈余表明,雅士利国际控股正在以一种似乎既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临与贷款人的问题。简而言之,雅士利国际控股拥有净现金,可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但雅士利国际控股未来能否保持健康的资产负债表,最重要的将是未来的收益。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Yashili International Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to CN¥4.4b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,雅士利国际控股没有实现息税前利润,但收入增长了22%,达到人民币44亿元。如果运气好的话,该公司将能够以增长的方式实现盈利。

So How Risky Is Yashili International Holdings?

那么雅士利国际控股的风险有多大呢?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Yashili International Holdings lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥502m and booked a CN¥81m accounting loss. With only CN¥1.81b on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Yashili International Holdings may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Yashili International Holdings you should be aware of.

我们毫不怀疑,总的来说,亏损公司比盈利公司风险更大。事实是,在过去的12个月里,雅士利国际控股公司的息税前利润(EBIT)出现了亏损。在同一时期,它出现了5.02亿加元的负自由现金流出,并计入了8100万加元的会计损失。在资产负债表上只有18.1亿元的情况下,它似乎很快就需要再次筹集资金。随着去年非常稳健的收入增长,雅士利国际控股可能走上了盈利的道路。通过在这些利润之前投资,股东承担了更大的风险,希望获得更大的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。一个恰当的例子是:我们发现了雅士利国际控股公司的一个警告标志,你应该知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

总而言之,有时候专注于甚至不需要债务的公司会更容易。读者可以访问净债务为零的成长型股票列表100%免费,现在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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