share_log

Why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s (HKG:1739) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s (HKG:1739) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

为什么Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)(HKG:1739)的收益比看起来的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/03 19:56

Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc.'s (HKG:1739) stock rose after it released a robust earnings report. However, we think that shareholders should be aware of some other factors beyond the profit numbers.

Qeeka Home(Cayman)Inc.(HKG:1739)股价上涨,此前该公司发布强劲的收益报告。然而,我们认为,股东应该意识到利润数字以外的一些其他因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Qeeka Home (Cayman)

查看我们对Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的最新分析

SEHK:1739 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2022
联交所:1739盈利及收入历史2022年5月3日

Examining Cashflow Against Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Earnings

检查Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的现金流和收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Qeeka Home (Cayman) has an accrual ratio of 2.18 for the year to December 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥74.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥211m in the last year. It's worth noting that Qeeka Home (Cayman) generated positive FCF of CN¥73m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Qeeka Home (Cayman) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)在截至2021年12月的一年中的应计比率为2.18。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个不好的预兆。换句话说,该公司在那段时间没有产生一分钱的自由现金流。尽管该公司报告利润为7,410万加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了2.11亿加元。值得注意的是,Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)一年前产生了7300万元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。对Qeeka Home(开曼)股东来说,一个积极的因素是,该公司去年的应计比率明显好于去年,这提供了一个理由,让人相信它未来可能会恢复更强劲的现金转换。如果情况确实如此,股东应该期待本年度相对于利润的现金流有所改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qeeka Home (Cayman).

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处查看我们对Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥103m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考虑到应计比率,Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的利润在过去12个月里受到价值1.03亿元人民币的不寻常项目的提振也就不足为奇了。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。我们可以看到,Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的积极异常项目与其截至2021年12月的年度利润相比相当重要。在其他条件不变的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的糟糕指标。

Our Take On Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Profit Performance

我们对Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)盈利表现的看法

Qeeka Home (Cayman) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you want to do dive deeper into Qeeka Home (Cayman), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Qeeka Home (Cayman) (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的应计比率较低,但其利润确实得到了不寻常项目的提振。基于上述原因,我们认为,乍一看,Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的法定利润可以被认为是低质量的,因为它们可能会给投资者留下过于乐观的公司印象。如果你想更深入地研究Qeeka Home(开曼群岛),你也应该看看它目前面临的风险。我们的分析显示了Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的3个警告信号(1个不容忽视!),我们强烈建议你在投资之前先看看这些信号。

Our examination of Qeeka Home (Cayman) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对Qeeka Home(开曼群岛)的审查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以让它的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发