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Cosmopolitan International Holdings Limited's (HKG:120) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings Limited's (HKG:120) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

环球国际控股有限公司(HKG:120)的股票正在上涨,但金融类股看起来不明确:这种势头是否会持续?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/01 20:31

Most readers would already be aware that Cosmopolitan International Holdings' (HKG:120) stock increased significantly by 22% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cosmopolitan International Holdings' ROE today.

大多数读者应该已经知道,Cosmopolitan International Holdings(HKG:120)的股票在过去三个月里大幅上涨了22%。然而,我们决定关注该公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给出该公司财务健康状况的明确迹象。特别是,我们今天将关注Cosmopolitan International Holdings的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率,即股本回报率,是评估一家公司从股东那里获得投资回报的有效程度的有用工具。换句话说,这是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for Cosmopolitan International Holdings

查看我们对Cosmopolitan International Holdings的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cosmopolitan International Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,Cosmopolitan International Holdings的净资产收益率为:

2.1% = HK$34m ÷ HK$1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

2.1%=3,400万港元×16亿港元(以截至2021年12月的过去12个月计算)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.02 in profit.

“回报”指的是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。这意味着,每1港元的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.02港元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。

Cosmopolitan International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE

环球国际控股的盈利增长和2.1%的净资产收益率

As you can see, Cosmopolitan International Holdings' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 18% seen by Cosmopolitan International Holdings was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

如你所见,Cosmopolitan International Holdings的净资产收益率(ROE)看起来相当疲软。即使与7.2%的行业平均净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率也相当惨淡。因此,说Cosmopolitan International Holdings的五年净收入下降18%可能是因为它的净资产收益率较低,这可能是正确的。然而,也可能有其他因素导致收益下降。例如-低收益留存或资本分配不佳。

However, when we compared Cosmopolitan International Holdings' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.2% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将Cosmopolitan International Holdings的增长与行业进行比较时发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在缩水,但同期该行业的收益增长了8.2%。这相当令人担忧。

SEHK:120 Past Earnings Growth May 2nd 2022
联交所:120过去盈利增长2022年5月2日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 120? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是将进入清澈的蓝色水域,还是等待沼泽水域。市场考虑到120的未来前景了吗?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案

Is Cosmopolitan International Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings是否在有效利用其利润?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Cosmopolitan International Holdings不支付任何股息,这意味着该公司保留了所有利润,这让我们不禁要问,如果它不能利用这些利润来增长业务,它为什么还要保留收益。因此,可能还有其他因素在起作用,可能会阻碍经济增长。例如,该业务一直面临一些不利因素。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Cosmopolitan International Holdings. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Cosmopolitan International Holdings.

总体而言,我们对Cosmopolitan International Holdings有复杂的感受。虽然该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表板将具有我们为Cosmopolitan International Holdings确定的两个风险。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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