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Earnings Miss: Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. Missed EPS By 13% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. Missed EPS By 13% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (NYSE:APAM), which a week ago released some disappointing first-quarter results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at US$282m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 13%, coming in at just US$0.90 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for Artisan Partners Asset Management
NYSE:APAM Earnings and Revenue Growth May 1st 2022Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from five analysts covering Artisan Partners Asset Management is for revenues of US$1.11b in 2022, implying an uncomfortable 8.8% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dip 8.7% to US$3.97 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.17b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.10 in 2022. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 9.2% to US$36.83. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Artisan Partners Asset Management analyst has a price target of US$43.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$34.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Artisan Partners Asset Management is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 12% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 9.2% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.0% per year. It's pretty clear that Artisan Partners Asset Management's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Artisan Partners Asset Management's future valuation.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Artisan Partners Asset Management analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Artisan Partners Asset Management is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (NYSE:APAM), which a week ago released some disappointing first-quarter results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at US$282m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 13%, coming in at just US$0.90 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
这将是一段艰难的时期Artisan Partners资产管理公司。(纽约证券交易所股票代码:APAM),该公司一周前发布了一些令人失望的第一季度业绩,可能会对市场如何看待该股产生显著影响。总体而言,这并不是一个很好的结果--虽然营收略低于分析师预测的2.82亿美元,但不及预期预期的法定收益却下降了13%,每股收益仅为0.9美元。在业绩公布后,分析师们更新了他们的收益模型,如果他们认为公司的前景发生了巨大变化,还是一切照旧,那将是一件好事。因此,我们收集了最新的盈利后法定共识估计,看看明年可能会发生什么。
See our latest analysis for Artisan Partners Asset Management
查看我们对Artisan Partners Asset Management的最新分析
Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from five analysts covering Artisan Partners Asset Management is for revenues of US$1.11b in 2022, implying an uncomfortable 8.8% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dip 8.7% to US$3.97 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.17b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.10 in 2022. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.
在最近的收益报告之后,五位研究Artisan Partners Asset Management的分析师的共识是,2022年的收入将达到11.1亿美元,这意味着与过去12个月相比,销售额下降了令人不安的8.8%。预计同期法定每股收益将下降8.7%,至3.97美元。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2022年营收为11.7亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为4.10美元。考虑到收入预期的下调和每股收益预期的小幅下降,分析师们不像公布业绩之前那样乐观。
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 9.2% to US$36.83. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Artisan Partners Asset Management analyst has a price target of US$43.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$34.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Artisan Partners Asset Management is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
得知分析师将目标股价下调9.2%至36.83美元,也就不足为奇了。看看分析师估计的范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异也可能是有启发意义的。最乐观的Artisan Partners资产管理分析师的目标价为每股43.00美元,而最悲观的估值为34.00美元。这是一个非常窄的估计价差,这意味着要么Artisan Partners Asset Management是一家很容易估值的公司,要么--更有可能的是--分析师严重依赖一些关键假设。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 12% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 9.2% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.0% per year. It's pretty clear that Artisan Partners Asset Management's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是,看看它们与过去的表现如何比较,以及同行业的其他公司的表现如何。这些估计意味着销售预计将放缓,预计到2022年底年化收入将下降12%。这表明,与过去五年9.2%的年增长率相比,这一数字大幅下降。与我们的数据相比,我们的数据表明,同一行业的其他公司预计收入将以每年5.0%的速度增长。很明显,Artisan Partners Asset Management的收入预计将远远逊于整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Artisan Partners Asset Management's future valuation.
最重要的是,分析师们下调了他们的每股收益预期,表明业绩公布后,市场人气明显下降。不利的一面是,他们还下调了营收预期,预测意味着营收表现将逊于整个行业。一致的目标价大幅下降,分析师们似乎对最新业绩并不放心,导致对Artisan Partners Asset Management未来估值的估计较低。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Artisan Partners Asset Management analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
根据这一思路,我们认为,业务的长期前景比明年的收益更相关。我们有多位Artisan Partners资产管理分析师对2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
Even so, be aware that Artisan Partners Asset Management is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
尽管如此,请注意Artisan Partners Asset Management在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警告信号,您应该知道...
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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