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China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last five years, but the stock rises 4.3% this past week

China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last five years, but the stock rises 4.3% this past week

中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的盈利和股东回报在过去五年一直呈下降趋势,但在过去的一周里,该股上涨了4.3%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/29 20:10

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 56% over a half decade.

理想情况下,你的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。所以我们不会责怪长期中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了56%。

While the last five years has been tough for China Railway Signal & Communication shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对中国铁路信号通信的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出了希望的迹象。因此,让我们看看较长期的基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动因素。

View our latest analysis for China Railway Signal & Communication

查看我们对中国铁路信号通信的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.1% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 15% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 7.21.

在股价下跌的五年中,中国铁路信号通信的每股收益(EPS)每年下降3.1%。读者应该注意到,在此期间,该公司股价以每年15%的速度下跌,速度比每股收益更快。这暗示市场此前对该股过于乐观。这种不那么有利的情绪反映在其目前7.21的市盈率上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS是如何随着时间的推移进行跟踪的(如果您点击该图像,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

SEHK:3969 Earnings Per Share Growth April 29th 2022
联交所:每股盈利增长3969 2022年4月29日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。通过查看这张中国铁路信号通信公司收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Railway Signal & Communication's TSR for the last 5 years was -44%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中国铁路信号通信最近5年的TSR为-44%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that China Railway Signal & Communication returned a loss of 7.4% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 24%. What is more upsetting is the 8% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication you should be aware of.

尽管令人痛心的是,中国铁路信号通信在过去12个月里亏损了7.4%,但大盘实际上更糟糕,亏损24%。更令人沮丧的是,投资者在过去五年里遭受了每年8%的损失。这种股价走势并不特别鼓舞人心,但至少损失正在放缓。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。举个例子:我们发现了一块中国铁路信号通信的警示标志,你应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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