share_log

We Think That There Are More Issues For Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd (SZSE:002609) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd (SZSE:002609) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为,深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司(深圳证券交易所股票代码:002609)面临的问题不仅仅是盈利疲软
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/29 18:26

The subdued market reaction suggests that Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002609) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

低迷的市场反应表明深圳市捷顺科技实业有限公司(SZSE:002609)近期财报并不包含任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数据外,投资者还应该意识到数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd

查看我们对深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:002609 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2022
SZSE:002609收益和收入历史2022年4月29日

Zooming In On Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's Earnings

放大深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

For the year to March 2022, Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.23. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥325m despite its profit of CN¥121.6m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥79m a year ago though, so Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2022年3月的一年,深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的应计比率为0.23。因此,我们可以推断,它的自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为1.216亿元,但仍流出3.25亿元。我们看到一年前的FCF是7900万加元,所以深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥13m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了1300万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们保持乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这些提振被描述为“不寻常的”,这正如你所预期的那样。假设这些不同寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,我们因此预计明年的利润会更弱(也就是说,在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

我们对深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd.

综上所述,深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司从异常项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但账面利润与自由现金流无法匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司做更多的分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。为了帮助解决这一问题,我们发现了3个警告信号(1个可能很严重!)在购买深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的任何股份之前,你应该意识到这一点。

Our examination of Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对深圳捷顺科技实业有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让该公司的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发