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Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's (SHSE:605128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's (SHSE:605128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

上海燕普金属制品有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:605128)盈利疲软可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/28 19:37

Shanghai YanPu Metal Products Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:605128) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

上海燕浦金属制品有限公司(上海证券交易所:605128)最近疲弱的收益报告并没有导致股市大幅波动。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数据外,投资者还应该意识到数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd

查看我们对上海燕普金属制品有限公司的最新分析

SHSE:605128 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海证交所:605128收益和收入历史2022年4月28日

Zooming In On Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's Earnings

放大上海燕普金属制品有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to December 2021. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥70.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥81m in the last year. We also note that Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥81m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

上海燕普金属制品有限公司截至2021年12月的年度应计比率为0.23。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其公布的利润。尽管该公司报告利润为7050万加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了8100万加元。我们还注意到,上海燕普金属制品有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东是否因其8100万元的资金外流而感到困扰。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海燕普金属制品有限公司的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥12m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了1200万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常的项目做出了很大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析了数千家上市公司的数据时,我们发现,在给定的一年中,不寻常的项目往往会带来提振第二年又重复了一遍。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。如果上海燕浦金属制品有限公司没有看到这种贡献再次出现,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计该公司今年的利润将会下降。

Our Take On Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's Profit Performance

我们对上海燕普金属制品有限公司盈利表现的看法

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

上海燕浦金属制品有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到了不寻常项目的提振。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼上海燕普金属制品有限公司的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。如果你想更多地了解上海燕普金属制品有限公司作为一个企业,了解它所面临的任何风险是很重要的。例如,上海燕浦金属制品有限公司有两个警告标志(还有一个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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