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Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:688091) Robust Profit May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:688091) Robust Profit May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

上海益众药业(上海证券交易所股票代码:688091)强劲的利润可能夸大了其真实的盈利潜力
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:56

Shareholders were pleased with the recent earnings report from Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688091). Investors should be cautious however, as there some causes of concern deeper in the numbers.

股东们对公司最近发布的收益报告感到满意上海益众药业有限公司。(上交所:688091)。然而,投资者应该谨慎,因为数字背后有一些令人担忧的原因。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical

查看我们对上海益众药业的最新分析

SHSE:688091 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海证交所:688091收益和收入历史2022年4月28日

Zooming In On Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's Earnings

放大上海益众药业的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

For the year to March 2022, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥25m despite its profit of CN¥32.3m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥25m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

截至2022年3月的一年,上海益众药业的应计比率为0.26。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其公布的利润。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为3230万元,但仍流出2500万元。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会怀疑,该公司今年2500万加元的现金消耗是否意味着高风险。话虽如此,最近的税收优惠和一些不寻常的项目似乎影响了它的利润(这是它的应计比率)。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海益众药业的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥10m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了1000万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们保持乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。我们可以看到,在截至2022年3月的一年中,上海一重药业的积极异常项目与其利润相比相当显著。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的项目使其法定利润比其他情况下要强劲得多。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不同寻常的税务情况

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥6.2m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

从应计比率来看,我们注意到上海益众药业受益于一项税收优惠,为利润贡献了620万元人民币。当一家公司是由税务人员支付的,而不是由税务人员支付的,这总是有一点值得注意的。我们确信该公司对其税收优惠感到满意。考虑到该公司去年亏损,这一收益似乎可能证明,该公司现在希望从过去的税收损失中找到价值。然而,细节中的魔鬼是,这些福利只在预订的那一年影响,而且往往是一次性的。如果税收优惠不再重复,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是这样。虽然我们认为该公司获得了税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着,法定利润很有可能会比收入经一次性因素调整后的水平高出很多。

Our Take On Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

我们对上海益众药业盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's tax benefit and unusual items boosted its statutory profit leading to poor cash conversion, as reflected by its accrual ratio. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical you should be mindful of and 1 of them is significant.

综上所述,上海一重药业的税收优惠和特殊项目增加了其法定利润,导致现金转换不佳,这从其应计比率中得到反映。基于上述所有原因,我们认为,乍看之下,上海一重药业的法定利润可以被认为是低质量的,因为它们很可能给投资者带来对公司过于积极的印象。如果你想更多地了解上海一重药业的业务,了解它面临的任何风险是很重要的。举个例子:我们发现了上海一重药业的两个警示标志,你应该注意其中一个是重要的。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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