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We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603181) Profit

We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603181) Profit

我们认为股东应该意识到浙江黄马科技有限公司(上交所:603181)利润之外的一些因素
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:41

We didn't see Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603181) stock surge when it reported robust earnings recently. We decided to have a deeper look, and we believe that investors might be worried about several concerning factors that we found.

我们没有看到浙江黄马科技有限公司(上交所:603181)最近该公司公布强劲收益后,股价飙升。我们决定进行更深入的研究,我们相信投资者可能会对我们发现的几个令人担忧的因素感到担忧。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd

查看我们对浙江黄马科技有限公司的最新分析

SHSE:603181 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海证交所:603181收益和收入历史2022年4月28日

A Closer Look At Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's Earnings

细看浙江黄马科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.37 for the year to December 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥448.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥168m in the last year. We also note that Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥168m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

浙江黄马科技有限公司截至2021年12月的年度应计比率为0.37。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个不好的预兆。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管该公司报告利润为4.484亿加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了1.68亿加元。我们还注意到,浙江黄马科技有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东是否对其流出的1.68亿元人民币感到困扰。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。应计比率反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上是这样。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥178m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考虑到应计比率,浙江黄马科技有限公司的利润在过去12个月里被价值1.78亿元人民币的不寻常项目提振也就不足为奇了。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们保持乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这些提振被描述为“不寻常的”,这正如你所预期的那样。浙江黄马科技有限公司在截至2021年12月的利润中,异常项目做出了相当大的贡献。在其他条件不变的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的糟糕指标。

Our Take On Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对浙江黄马科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

综上所述,浙江黄马科技有限公司从异常项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但账面利润与自由现金流不匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼浙江黄马科技有限公司的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司做更多的分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。例如,我们为浙江黄马科技有限公司确定了3个警示标志(1个是有点令人担忧的),你应该熟悉。

Our examination of Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对浙江黄马科技有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让它的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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