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3.8% earnings growth over 5 years has not materialized into gains for COSCO SHIPPING Technology (SZSE:002401) shareholders over that period

3.8% earnings growth over 5 years has not materialized into gains for COSCO SHIPPING Technology (SZSE:002401) shareholders over that period

中远航运科技(深圳证券交易所股票代码:002401)的股东在过去5年的收益增长中没有实现3.8%的增长
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:41

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term COSCO SHIPPING Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002401) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 40% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 22%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 21% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 22% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但即使是最好的选股者也只有在一些选择。所以我们不会责怪长期中远海运科技有限公司。(SZSE:002401)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在过去五年中下跌了40%。我们还注意到,该股在过去一年表现不佳,股价下跌了22%。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天里下跌了21%。当然,在此期间,这一股价走势很可能受到了大盘22%跌幅的影响。

With the stock having lost 20% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

鉴于该公司股价在过去一周下跌了20%,我们有必要看看公司的业绩,看看是否有什么危险信号。

See our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Technology

查看我们对中远航运技术的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

While the share price declined over five years, COSCO SHIPPING Technology actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

虽然股价在五年内下跌,但中远航运科技实际上成功地增加平均每年以21%的速度增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,增长预期在过去可能是不合理的。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长和股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,因此有必要看看其他指标,试图了解股价走势。

We don't think that the 1.7% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 15% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

我们不认为1.7%是影响股价的大因素,因为随着股息的增加,1.7%的影响相当小。在这段时间里,收入实际上增长了15%。因此,人们似乎必须更仔细地观察基本面,才能理解股价低迷的原因。毕竟,可能会有机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

SZSE:002401 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2022
深圳证交所:002401收益和收入增长2022年4月28日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强健至关重要。也许很值得一看我们的免费报告其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而发生变化。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

COSCO SHIPPING Technology shareholders are down 22% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -20%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 7% per year. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with COSCO SHIPPING Technology .

中远航运科技的股东在过去12个月里下跌了22%(甚至包括股息),距离-20%的市场回报率不远。因此,去年实际上比过去五年还要糟糕,过去五年股东每年损失7%。该公司可能需要基本面业绩的大幅改善才能扭转这一趋势。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意到我们在中远航运技术公司发现的两个警告信号。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,你会的想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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