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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying China East Education Holdings' (HKG:667) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying China East Education Holdings' (HKG:667) Earnings

我们认为华东教育控股(HKG:667)的盈利存在问题
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:03

China East Education Holdings Limited (HKG:667) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

华东教育控股有限公司(HKG:667)公布强劲盈利,但股价停滞不前。我们做了一些挖掘,我们在细节中发现了一些令人担忧的因素。

View our latest analysis for China East Education Holdings

查看我们对华东教育控股的最新分析

SEHK:667 Earnings and Revenue History April 27th 2022
联交所:667盈利及收入历史2022年4月27日

A Closer Look At China East Education Holdings' Earnings

仔细看看华东教育控股的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

China East Education Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to December 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥186m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥302.2m. China East Education Holdings' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

华东教育控股在截至2021年12月的一年中的应计比率为0.20。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这很难说是一件好事。事实上,该公司去年的自由现金流为1.86亿加元,远低于其3.022亿加元的法定利润。华东教育控股的自由现金流实际上在去年有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流的波动性往往比会计利润更大。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On China East Education Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对华东教育控股公司盈利表现的看法

China East Education Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that China East Education Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 32% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - China East Education Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

华东教育控股去年没有将大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。正因为如此,我们认为可能是华东教育控股的法定利润好于其基础盈利能力。但至少持有者可以从过去三年每股收益每年32%的增长中得到一些安慰。当然,当谈到分析其收益时,我们只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等因素。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司做更多的分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。例如,华东教育控股有限公司有两个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of China East Education Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了一个数据点,以更好地了解华东教育控股的利润性质。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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