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特斯拉2024Q1财报:通往何处的十字路口
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High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。

钱的威力很大,但也不是万能的。
硬逻辑
硬逻辑是面值保护
硬逻辑是规则制度
硬逻辑是重大关键利益态度与明显优势实力
硬逻辑是高时效的统计规律
再硬的逻辑也需要盘口的应和验证,否则也是无用。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
大多数场合适用,但是对于诚信社会阶层,特别是像Tesla和Elon Musk就不需要了。坦率地说, 像Vanguard(先锋领航)BlackRock(贝莱德),Tim Buckley(蒂姆·巴克利)Stephen A. Schwarzman(斯蒂芬·艾伦·施瓦茨曼),Larry Fink(拉瑞·芬克)对Tesla,尤其是Elon Musk(伊隆·马斯克)始终都是高度信任的,信任就是最大的支持。关键时刻更是会两肋插刀,拔刀相助。
逢高兑现部分浮盈,用于下次铲底,归入护仓资金战斗序列。
逢高兑现部分浮盈,用于下次铲底,归入护仓资金战斗序列。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
浪大鱼肥
最佳投资阶段是:多空意见尖锐对立,并且粗看上去情况“越糟糕越好”,真理往往掌握在少数人在心脑血管里。乌合之众喜欢抱团取暖,总希望得到别人的认可才放心,才心安理得。殊不知,当观点趋于一致时,往往是该离开牌桌进入休息状态的时候。
如果你至今还在静态地看待Tesla的财报,纠结于财报如何如何糟糕透顶,尖酸刻薄而不会用动态的眼光看待和发展的眼光看待的话,那你真是笨到家了,这辈子就这样了。再说一句看衰Tesla做空Tesla而不知道及时收手,你会死得很惨,后果就是光屁股和卖屁股了。Tesla是非常有前途的高科技高成长的优秀企业,与其它行业比发展已经非常快了。我以理论物理和应用数学专业背景的人实话相告。
Larry Fink的讲话还是很有威力的,特别是当盘面行情与之配合遭到佐证时更是这样。
Wall Street的原先看跌做空的金融机构开始幡然醒悟,处理掉空头部位导致现在的大幅上涨。
现在行情处于颠覆性地扭转乾坤的上涨。Elias已经实现了尽可能多地收纳低价筹码的战略目标。因为Elias的全部筹码几乎都是在每一个局部的最低点或次低点建仓布局的,没有追高或追强中建仓布局的。这就是投资的优越性战胜投机取巧的局限性。
行情在绝望中爆发、犹豫中上涨、欢乐中死亡。你的注意点就是你的命运。跟着苍蝇找厕所,跟着蜜蜂找花朵,跟着千万挣百万,跟着乞丐会要饭。
活鱼逆流而上,死鱼随波逐流。没有困难就没有智慧。人可以忍受不幸,也可以战胜不幸,因为人有着惊人的潜力,只要立志发挥它,就一定能渡过难关。顺境中的好运,为人们所希冀;逆境中的好运,则为人们所惊奇。最困难的时候,也就是离成功不远的时候。要想捉大鱼,不能怕水深。
When the wind is going smoothly, you can continue to maintain a bright state by not being happy with things, being modest and prudent; when you are in trouble, not being sad for yourself, and actively looking for a way to break the situation, you can gain the power of Nirvana and rebirth.
Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, one of the two mainstays of Wall Street, expressed his views on Tesla to the media, and the financial market still takes it seriously.
【Key Tips🔔: The relatively high negative line in the daily chart that jumped up is gradually being swallowed by the positive line. The chart tells us everything. 】
1. From a fundamental perspective, Elon Musk clearly, decisively and purposefully expounded Tesla's development vision and took a series of corresponding adjustment measures, which fundamentally dispelled the confusion and doubts of many important strategic investors of Tesla. At the same time, this is also the answer that the truly savvy analysts of those visionary financial institutions on Wall Street want to get. This is very important and is the main reason for reversing the balance of power between the long and short sides from the market. Many top-level large financial institutions on Wall Street are not short of money, but they are short of good projects that are worth their long-term investment. They are not like many investors who only look at short-term investment prospects of three months to one year. These institutions are just speculators in the game of counterparty stage and do not have relatively clear strategic goals.
2. Although Tesla's cash flow is at a low point due to the increase in inventory cars, Elon Musk, as Tesla's largest shareholder and executive chairman, has clearly stated on behalf of Tesla that Tesla will repurchase Tesla shares when cash flow picks up. This is the second important reason for changing the current balance of power between long and short positions. Whether it is implemented or not is not important. What is important is the attitude and willingness of listed companies. Wall Street has never lacked money, even in the days of interest rate hikes.
3. From the perspective of technical analysis on the market, Tesla's stock price has basically touched the lower track of the downward channel in each time period, the function values ​​of various technical indicators are mostly oversold or severely oversold, the bottom divergence technical phenomenon occurs frequently, and the proportion of profitable chips fluctuates in the low value area for a long time, and the four bodies resonate. This is an important technical basis chain for Elias's bullishness. The mob often only grasps a single technical credential and jumps to conclusions.
4. Clarify your thoughts, understand the situation and the current situation, and determine that Tesla is worth long-term investment. The most important thing is to make things easier. Lock in Tesla as the subject of investment and trading. When you are confused, look at the weekly and monthly charts. The main trend and the general trend are always upward, which is also the basic feature of the US stock index and the seven major US technology growth stocks. When the secondary trend and the main trend are sharply opposed to the extreme area (classic four-body resonance), strategic investors begin to overcome the weaknesses of human nature, follow the general trend, go against technology, go against human nature, and build positions in discrete random variables in batches and gradients.
5. Most of the time, the financial market is disorderly and ambiguously fluctuating. Mathematically speaking, it belongs to functional and non-functional problems. It is very difficult to deal with and often has multiple solutions. However, at critical moments, key technical points can be predicted, and what we want to do is the latter. The pursuit of win-win for both long and short positions is the fatal injury of the mob. Wall Street has never had a perfect institution for long and short positions. There are two major limitations in the financial market that no one can surpass: 1. The uncertainty principle. 2. The principle of spatial orientation disorder. Only God has such ability. But when time passes, you can see clearly what you have underestimated, and you can see clearly what you have underestimated, and they complement each other.
6. The view that Tesla's low-priced electric cars cannot be neglected was put forward by Baron and his son of Baron Capital Management, a very important strategic investor of Tesla and an important shareholder of Tesla, which attracted Elon Musk's attention. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, expressed his views on Tesla's prospects in the public media when Tesla's stock price was at its lowest point, which greatly comforted Tesla's shareholders and strategic investors who were once anxious. The mob didn't know who Baron and his son and Larry Fink were and what they did. They only looked at the 1-minute to 15-minute charts and trends and whether the arbitrage was successful.
7. A negative line in the daily chart that leaves a huge gap and opens high tells people two major messages: first, 138.800 is the ultimate bottom of this round of decline, and it is only the prelude to the rise; second, Tesla investors need to have enough patience to cooperate with Tesla to gradually reverse and improve Tesla's profit decline. In the market, it is necessary to gradually consolidate the rise stimulated by Elon Musk's vision speech. The high negative line itself shows that the upper selling pressure cannot be underestimated. It takes time to gradually digest and swallow this relatively high negative line to go to the next level. Don't have unrealistic and unreasonable thoughts. Restoration and stabilization above 160.510 is an important indicator to measure the market. 160.510-138.800 is the historical root area of ​​Tesla's stock price in the future. If the stock price falls, it is an opportunity to build a position in batches and discrete random variables, rather than chasing highs and strongs. There is no "technical basis chain" to support the reckless bearish view of Tesla. If you think the stock price is high, you will sell short and try to win both long and short. Especially if you sell short and don't know how to stop in time, you will pay a heavy price.
8. The era of electric vehicles has begun, and now it has entered the second stage of AI, and autonomous driving is the direction. At present, the proportion of smart electric vehicles is still very low, and its market is far from saturation. Hydrogen-powered vehicles currently have some technical difficulties that are difficult to overcome, and it is still a long way from large-scale popularization. Therefore, smart electric vehicles are in the ascendant.
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
High-dimensional investors:庸人只能用失去钱来痛醒,不能教育,教育不是万能的。
免责声明:社区由Moomoo Technologies Inc.提供,仅用于教育目的。 更多信息
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