Year 2023- Sector outlook. Which sector is going strong?- part 1
Today we will focus on the sector analysis again.
Year 2022 is coming to the end, not sure if Santa Claus rally will be coming, but let us analyse the potential leading sector in year 2023. Get the fund ready!
A quick analysis on Index:
Dow Jones industrial:
The strongest index among 3. The weekly MA30 is starting to slope up. Price is above MA30 for one month.
SPX
Overall is down-trend. MA30 is flattening. Price is above MA30. We shall see if it can hold above the MA30 and it will be a bullish signal, if MA30 turns up and the price closes above the previous swing high.
Nasdaq index. The weakest among all. Down trend is clear, price is below MA30 and MA30 is sloping down. Not a good time to buy any technology stocks.
Overall, including the strongest Dow Jones index, we need to see a retracement with lower volume, then the price needs to close above the previous swing high. This will be a very solid technical indication of reversal of bullish trend.
For the sector analysis, I will be using the following tickers:
I will arrange the strength of each sector using stage analysis.
Sector: Homebuilder
Ticker XHB
Ticker XHB
Areas involved: Building Products, Home Furnishings, Home Improvement Retail, Homefurnishing Retail, and Household Appliances sub-industries
Some key components: Home Depot Inc., Lennar Corporation Class A, Owens Corning
Chart analysis (weekly):
MA30: Flattening
Price: Above MA30
General trend: Consolidating
Stage: Stage 1
From the chart, it is now consolidating, and the key level is to break the previous swing high. For the lower side, it must hold above the weekly 30.
Entry: MA30 sloping up, break above the previous swing high of $68.2.
Sector:Materials
Ticker XLB
Ticker XLB
Areas involved: Chemicals; metals and mining; paper and forest products; containers and packaging; and construction materials.
Some key components: Linde plc, Nucor Corporation, Dow Inc.
Chart analysis (weekly):
MA30: Flattening
Price: Above MA30. Break the previous swing high.
General trend: Consolidating.
Stage: Stage 1
From the chart, it is now consolidating, but the price managed to break the previous swing high. It is stronger than XHB.
Entry: Retracement that can hold above the MA30, then break the high again.
Strength: XLB > XHB
Sector:Energy
Ticker XLE
Ticker XLE
Areas involved: Oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services.
Some key components: Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, Schlumberger NV
Chart analysis (weekly):
MA30: Sloping up
Price: Above MA30.
总体趋势：向上
阶段：第 2 阶段
尽管XLE仍在形成上升趋势，但原油价格处于第四阶段。如果想进入 XLE，停下来很重要。
入场：关键支撑或突破之前的高点。但是，我不会输入任何能源股票或ETF。
力量：XLE> XLB > XHB
行业：金融
股票行情 XLF
股票行情 XLF
涉及领域：多元化金融服务；保险；银行；资本市场
一些关键组成部分：伯克希尔哈撒韦公司、摩根大通公司、高盛集团公司
图表分析（每周）：
MA30：向上倾斜
价格：30 MA以上。
总体趋势：整合。打破了之前的高点。
阶段：第 2 阶段初期
XLF 是我目前的主要目标。与XLB类似，它突破了之前的高点，但MA30的上升幅度更为明显。如果你读过我之前的文章，金融业是潜在的轮流引领市场的行业之一。
入场：好消息是，它现在正在回调。如果它能在突破之前的36.5美元摆动高点的那一刻保持在30日移动平均线上方，这将是一个强劲的入场点。
力量：XLE> XLF> XLB> XLB > XHB
行业：工业
Ticker XLI
Ticker XLI
涉及领域：航空航天和国防；工业集团；海事；交通基础设施；机械；公路和铁路；空运和物流；商业服务和供应；专业服务；电气设备；建筑和工程；贸易公司和分销商；航空公司；以及建筑产品
一些关键组件：卡特彼勒公司、波音公司、洛克希德·马丁公司
图表分析（每周）：
MA30：向上倾斜
价格：30 MA以上
总体趋势：下降趋势被打破。
阶段：第 2 阶段初期
从图表来看，XLI似乎很强劲。但是，关键原因是像LMT这样的航空航天和国防工业由于俄乌战争而发展得非常高。如果我们取消航空航天和国防领域，XLI实际上表现不佳。
入场：回撤位必须保持在MA30以上。入场将是它突破之前的高点的那一刻。
力量：XLE> XLI> XLF> XLF> XLB > XHB
行业：科技
股票代码 XLK
股票代码 XLK
涉及的领域：技术硬件、存储和外围设备；软件；通信设备；半导体和半导体设备；信息技术服务；以及电子设备、仪器和组件。
一些关键组件：苹果、英伟达、微软
图表分析（每周）：
MA30：向下倾斜
价格：低于 30 马拉
总体趋势：下降趋势
阶段：第 4 阶段
从图表上看，与QQQ类似，可以观察到非常明显的下降趋势。现在还不是进入科技领域的时候。
入口：至少等待 MA30 先变平。
力量：XLE> XLI> XLF> XLF> XLB > XHB > XLK
待继续...
$标普500指数(.SPX.US$ $道琼斯指数(.DJI.US$ $纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US$ $标普房屋建筑商ETF-SPDR(XHB.US$ $SPDR原物料类ETF(XLB.US$ $工业指数ETF-SPDR(XLI.US$ $科技行业精选指数ETF-SPDR(XLK.US$ $SPDR金融行业ETF(XLF.US$ $能源指数ETF-SPDR(XLE.US$ $日常消费品精选行业指数ETF-SPDR(XLP.US$ $公用事业精选行业指数ETF-SPDR(XLU.US$ $医疗保健精选行业指数ETF-SPDR(XLV.US$ $非必需消费类ETF-SPDR(XLY.US$ $标普零售指数ETF-SPDR(XRT.US$ $半导体指数ETF-VanEck(SMH.US$
免责声明：社区由Moomoo Technologies Inc.提供，仅用于教育目的。
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