share_log

Meta Platforms Stock Still Is the Best Investment in the Metaverse Out There

Meta Platforms Stock Still Is the Best Investment in the Metaverse Out There

元平台股票仍是元宇宙的最佳投资
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/31 06:06

Facebook Inc. did more than a simple name change when it took on the $Meta Platforms(FB.US)$ moniker. It also put an emerging trend (the metaverse) on the map. Doing so didn't give FB stock much of a boost.

Facebook。它不仅仅是一个简单的名称更改,当它在$Meta平台(FB.US)$绰号。它还将一个新兴趋势(元宇宙)放在了地图上。这样做并没有给FB的股票带来太大的提振。

It did help spark enthusiasm for several more speculative cryptos and stocks, as you are likely aware.

正如你可能知道的那样,这确实有助于激发人们对更多投机性密码和股票的热情。

For example, "metacoins" like Decentraland (CCC:MANA-USD), as well as stocks such as $Matterport(MTTR.US)$.

例如,“美他可因”就像非中心地带(CCC:法力--美元),以及以下股票$Matterport(MTTR.US)$.

Nimble traders were able to book fast profits trading this trend via such vehicles. Other investors had less luck, as seen from their big declines after the meta trade peaked in November.

灵活的交易员能够通过这样的工具在这种趋势下快速获利。其他投资者的运气较差,这从去年11月元交易见顶后的大幅下跌中可见一斑。

With this, you're likely better off not chasing the chancier meta plays at this time.

有了这一点,你可能会更好地不要在这个时候追逐更时髦的元剧。

Instead, going long the social media giant may be the best vehicle for metaverse exposure.

相反,做多这家社交媒体巨头可能是获得元宇宙曝光率的最佳工具。

This isn't the only big tech stock out there with a meta catalyst. $Apple(AAPL.US)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$ have also been discussed by analysts as possible metaverse plays.

这并不是唯一一只拥有元催化剂的大型科技股。$苹果(AAPL.US)$$微软(MSFT.US)$分析人士也在讨论可能的元宇宙业务。

Still, even if this company fails to dominate the metaverse, consider it the better play. Why? Let's dive in and find out.

尽管如此,即使这家公司未能在元宇宙上占据主导地位,也可以认为它是更好的选择。为什么?让我们一头扎进去,一探究竟。

FB Stock and its Meta Catalyst

FB原料油及其元催化剂

As I mentioned above, the metaverse has yet to help send shares in Meta Platforms higher. Admittedly, other factors have played a role in this.

正如我上面提到的,元宇宙还没有帮助推动Meta平台的股价走高。诚然,其他因素也在其中发挥了作用。

The worries over the Fed's hawkish moves and the omicron variant, for one. Along with this, per my InvestorPlace colleague Dana Blankenhorn, the company's numerous controversies have weighed down on it as well.

比如,对美联储鹰派举措和奥密克戎的担忧。还有这个,根据我的说法投资商位置同事达娜·布兰肯霍恩表示,该公司的众多争议也给它带来了压力。

That said, based on recent headlines, the metaverse catalyst may be on the verge of finally putting points into FB stock.

话虽如此,根据最近的头条新闻,元宇宙的催化剂可能最终即将入股FB股票。

As analysts from KeyBanc discussed in a recent research note, the rise in popularity of the Oculus app over the Christmas weekend may signal its headsets were a popular gift this holiday season.

作为来自KeyBanc在最近的一份研究报告中讨论了Oculus应用程序在圣诞节周末的受欢迎程度,这可能表明它的耳机是这个假日季节的流行礼物。

News of this helped to give Meta shares a 3.26% pop the day it was announced. Although not exactly a "needle mover," it may be a sign that this trend will start to have a positive impact on its near-term price performance.

这一消息帮助Meta股价在宣布当天上涨了3.26%。虽然不完全是一个“指针移动”,但这可能是一个迹象,表明这一趋势将开始对其近期的价格表现产生积极影响。

That's good news for investors, who have likely been frustrated as the company's big tech peers, like Apple and Microsoft, have performed much better than this name in recent months.

这对投资者来说是个好消息,他们可能对苹果和微软等大型科技同行近几个月来的表现比苹果好得多感到沮丧。

But that's not all. Over the long-term, this trend is more likely to have a material impact on this stock, than it will on the price of the above-mentioned names also perceived to have high exposure to it.

但这还不是全部。从长期来看,这一趋势更有可能对这只股票产生实质性影响,而不是对被认为对其有较高敞口的上述公司的价格产生影响。

A Better Metaverse Play

更好地发挥元宇宙效应

Name change notwithstanding, I'll admit it's not set in stone that Meta Platforms will dominate the metaverse hardware business.

尽管更名了,但我承认Meta平台将主导元宇宙硬件业务并不是板上钉钉的事情。

Many have made the case why Apple stands to win the metaverse hardware wars. That said, even if it does not become the largest name in the hardware end of this space, this trend could still have a greater long-term impact on its stock price for two reasons.

许多人提出了苹果为什么会赢得元宇宙硬件大战的理由。也就是说,即使它没有成为这个领域硬件端最大的公司,这一趋势仍可能对其股价产生更大的长期影响,原因有两个。

First, it's making a much more concentrated bet on the trend than its rivals, with efforts related to both the hardware and software ends of this digital frontier.

首先,与竞争对手相比,它对这一趋势的押注要集中得多,在这一数字前沿的硬件和软件方面都做出了努力。

That may be riskier, yet it offers much more upside potential in the event the metaverse truly becomes the next big thing.

这可能风险更大,但如果元宇宙真的成为下一个大项目,它提供的上行潜力要大得多。

Second, FB stock trades at a much more reasonable valuation than either AAPL stock or MSFT stock.

其次,FB股票的估值比苹果或微软股票都要合理得多。

At today's prices, Meta Platforms trades for 24.8x forward earnings. Apple's earnings multiple is 31.6x, and Microsoft's is 37.2x.

以今天的价格计算,Meta平台的预期市盈率为24.8倍。苹果的市盈率为31.6倍,微软为37.2倍。

I'll concede much of this has to do with low analyst expectations when it comes to the company's 2022 earnings growth. Consensus calls for earnings per share (EPS) growth of just 2% next year.

我承认,这在很大程度上是因为分析师对该公司2022年收益增长的预期较低。各方一致认为,明年每股收益(EPS)仅增长2%。

In contrast, Apple and Microsoft are both expected to see double-digit percentage annual earnings growth.

相比之下,苹果和微软预计都将实现两位数的年度收益增长。

However, between it beating consensus four quarters in a row, analysts may be underestimating how well the company will perform in the quarters ahead.

然而,在连续四个季度打破共识的情况下,分析师可能低估了该公司在未来几个季度的表现。

With the high end of estimates calling for EPS of $16.70 in 2022 (nearly 20% above 2021 estimates), Meta Platforms could surprise.

由于预计2022年的高端每股收益为16.70美元(比2021年的预期高出近20%),Meta平台可能会出人意料。

Bottom Line on Meta Platforms

Meta平台的底线

Investors and traders have dabbled in riskier metaverse cryptos/stocks over the past two months. Those early to the trend likely realized fast profits.

过去两个月,投资者和交易员涉足风险较高的元宇宙密码/股票。那些较早赶上这一趋势的公司可能实现了快速盈利。

Unfortunately, investors a little late to the game may be sitting underwater, after the pullback seen with these more volatile plays.

不幸的是,在这些波动较大的游戏出现回调后,稍微晚一点的投资者可能会陷入困境。

To play this trend, making a long-term wager looks to be the best move. Between Meta Platforms, Apple, and Microsoft, you have plenty of options. Yet among the three, there's one that's the best one, all things considered.

为了顺应这一趋势,进行长期押注看起来是最好的举措。在Meta平台、苹果和微软之间,你有很多选择。然而,在这三家公司中,有一家是所有因素中最好的一家。

If placing bets on the metaverse, go with FB stock. It offers greater exposure to the trend than its peers, as well as a lower valuation.

如果把赌注押在元宇宙上,那就选择FB股票。与同行相比,它对这一趋势的敞口更大,估值也更低。

On the date of publication, Thomas Niel did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,托马斯·尼尔没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南.

Thomas Niel, a contributor for InvestorPlace.com, has been writing single-stock analysis for web-based publications since 2016.

InvestorPlace.com的撰稿人托马斯·尼尔自2016年以来一直在为基于网络的出版物撰写单一股票分析。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发