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INTC Stock Looks Interesting, But Intel Has Too Much Catching up to Do

INTC Stock Looks Interesting, But Intel Has Too Much Catching up to Do

英特爾股票看起來很有趣,但英特爾有太多事情要追趕
InvestorPlace ·  2021/10/14 10:46

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Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) stock has had a difficult time at the stock market since 2018. It is largely because of the lack of innovation and the loss of market share to its peers in the CPU and GPU business.

英特爾(納斯達克股票代碼:INTC)自2018年以來,股票市場經歷了一段艱難的時期。這在很大程度上是因為缺乏創新,在CPU和GPU業務方面的市場份額被同行搶走了。

Source: Sundry Photography / Shutterstock.com

來源:sundry Photoography/Shutterstock.com

Intel is in the midst of an ambitious turnaround plan which could bear fruit over the long term. However, the risks outweigh the rewards in investing in INTC stock at this time.

英特爾正在進行一項雄心勃勃的扭虧為盈計劃,該計劃可能會在長期內取得成果。然而,目前投資英特爾股票的風險大於回報。

The stock is trading is cheap, though, compared with industry stalwarts such as Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and AMD (NASDAQ:AMD). It trades at 12 times forward sales, but the main reason for its cheap multiple is that Intel expects a significant drop in earnings in 2022.

不過,與行業中堅力量相比,該股目前的交易價格較低英維迪亞(納斯達克股票代碼:NVDA)和AMD(納斯達克市場代碼:AMD)它的預期市盈率為12倍,但其市盈率低廉的主要原因是英特爾預計2022年收益將大幅下降。

Current estimates forecast a 7.4% drop in earnings in 2022 from $4.79 in 2021. Moreover, earnings are expected to fall by 9.7% in 2021 from $5.30 in 2020. Therefore, the beaten-down position of INTC stock is justified and should deter investors from placing their bets on the stock.

目前的估計是,2022年的收益將從2021年的4.79美元下降7.4%。此外,預計2021年收益將從2020年的5.30美元下降9.7%。因此,英特爾股票被打壓的頭寸是合理的,應該會阻止投資者押注於該股。

Intel's Turn-Around Plan

英特爾的扭虧為盈計劃

Intel has generated lackluster growth in the past few years, suffering from postponed chip upgrades and chip shortages. As a consequence, it has ceded market share to TSMC (NYSE:TSM). Moreover, it has also lost a lot of its market share to AMD in the PC and data center CPU markets.

英特爾在過去幾年中增長乏力,受到芯片升級推遲和芯片短缺的影響。因此,它將市場份額讓給了台積電(紐約證券交易所代碼:TSM)。此外,它在個人電腦和數據中心CPU市場的市場份額也被AMD搶走了很多。

However, it appears that Intel finally has a plan in place to kickstart its recovery. It removed its CEO Bon Swan and appointed VMware's (NYSE:VMW)  former CEO Pat Gelsinger.

然而,英特爾似乎終於有了啟動復甦的計劃。它罷免了首席執行官邦·斯旺(Bon Swan),並任命vmware(紐約證券交易所代碼:VMW)的前首席執行官帕特·蓋爾辛格。

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Intel is a major player in foundries, which could potentially become a highly profitable business model. Gelsinger is hopeful that Intel could catch up to TSMC in the foundries space by the conclusion of 2024.

英特爾是鑄造業的主要參與者,這可能成為一種利潤豐厚的商業模式。蓋爾辛格希望英特爾能在2024年底之前在代工領域趕上台積電。

Gelsinger has outlined his plans to upgrade Intel's plants to use ASML's lithography machines, expanding the company's third-party foundry services. The goal is to chomp away at TSMC's market share, eliminate industry bottlenecks in Asia, and attract massive government subsidies from U.S. and Europe.

蓋爾辛格概述了升級英特爾工廠以使用ASML光刻機的計劃,擴大了該公司的第三方代工服務。目標是蠶食台積電的市場份額,消除亞洲的行業瓶頸,並吸引美國和歐洲的鉅額政府補貼。

Furthermore, Intel plans to expand its footprint in the U.S. to effectively shield itself from future trade wars and Taiwan-related geopolitical risks. If it can successfully achieve all these goals, it will likely grow at an impressive pace over the next decade, making it an attractive long-term investment again.

此外,英特爾計劃擴大其在美國的足跡,以有效地保護自己免受未來貿易戰和與台灣相關的地緣政治風險的影響。如果它能成功實現所有這些目標,它很可能在未來十年以令人印象深刻的速度增長,使其再次成為一項有吸引力的長期投資。

Risks Ahead

未來的風險

The main risk for Intel is its execution. It's a company with a sizeable market share across its key segments and massive cash flows but has executed poorly in introducing new process types.

英特爾面臨的主要風險是執行。它是一家在關鍵領域擁有相當大的市場份額和大量現金流的公司,但在引入新流程類型方面表現不佳。

However, with a tech-focused CEO at the top, it appears likely that Intel could potentially bring products to the market in a more efficient manner. Nevertheless, execution remains a core risk for the company in the future.

然而,有了一位專注於技術的首席執行官擔任最高層,英特爾似乎有可能以更高效的方式將產品推向市場。然而,執行力仍然是該公司未來的核心風險。

Furthermore, catching up to TSMC is a tough ask at this stage. TSMC plans to invest up to $100 million in its business over the next three years and is far ahead of Intel in the process race and will likely remain the core risk as we advance. TSMC also has secured government subsidies in the U.S. for its Arizona plants, a move which Gelsinger has fiercely criticized.

此外,在現階段追趕台積電是一項艱鉅的任務。台積電計劃在未來三年向其業務投資高達1億美元,在流程競賽中遙遙領先於英特爾,而且隨着我們的進步,可能仍將是核心風險。台積電還在美國為其亞利桑那州的工廠獲得了政府補貼,此舉遭到了蓋爾辛格的強烈批評。

Intel's new CEO has lofty goals for the company's future but clearly has his work cut out. Intel is a business suffering from serious execution issues and is chasing an industry leader roaring ahead.

英特爾的新任首席執行官對公司的未來有着遠大的目標,但他的工作顯然是艱鉅的。英特爾是一家飽受嚴重執行問題困擾的企業,它正在追逐一家呼嘯而至的行業領先者。

Bottom Line on INTC Stock

INTC股票的底線

INTC stock has moved sluggishly in the past few years, and the trend is unlikely to change anytime soon. Intel has a turnaround plan in place which could pay dividends down the road, but it's too risky at this stage.

INTC股票在過去幾年走勢遲滯,這一趨勢不太可能很快改變。英特爾已經制定了一項扭虧為盈的計劃,可能會在未來帶來紅利,但在現階段風險太大。

Its new CEO has set ambitious targets for the company, but execution remains a major concern. Therefore, it's best to avoid INTC stock at this time.

該公司新任首席執行官為公司設定了雄心勃勃的目標,但執行力仍是一個主要問題。因此,此時最好避開INTC股票。

On the date of publication, Muslim Farooque did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文發表之日,穆斯林·法魯克沒有(直接或間接)持有本文提到的證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南。

Muslim Farooque is a keen investor and an optimist at heart. A life-long gamer and tech enthusiast, he has a particular affinity for analyzing technology stocks. Muslim holds a bachelor's of science degree in applied accounting from Oxford Brookes University.

穆斯林法魯克是一位熱心的投資者,內心也是一位樂觀主義者。作為一名終生遊戲玩家和科技愛好者,他對分析科技股有着特別的親和力。穆斯林擁有牛津布魯克斯大學(Oxford Brookes University)應用會計理學學士學位。

The post INTC Stock Looks Interesting, But Intel Has Too Much Catching up to Do appeared first on InvestorPlace.

INTC股票的帖子看起來很有趣,但英特爾有太多的事情需要迎頭趕上,首先出現在InvestorPlace上。

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