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The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.
Slowing U.S. Inflation Expected to Open Up Opportunities in Bond Markets
0658 GMT - Slowing U.S. inflation is likely to coincide with a broader pullback in U.S. economic growth, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate-cut time frame highlights potential fixed-income opp
Piper Sandler: Biden's re-election will boost 10-year US Treasury yields
Investment bank strategist Piper Sandler said that if Biden is re-elected as US president in November this year, 10-year US bond yields may rise by about 12 basis points.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were “hawked” and the US debt fell slightly
The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's May meeting released on Wednesday showed that many policymakers questioned whether the policy was strict enough to reduce inflation to the target level. Affected by this, US debt fell, with short-term US debt leading the decline.
Bond traders cut bets on the Fed's interest rate cut, and US debt bears are back on the rise
Traders remain cautious and wait for more data to confirm that inflation is moving in the right direction, while waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the May meeting to be released on Wednesday to provide new clues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.
US Treasury bonds fell for the third day in a row, and optimism about inflation faded
US Treasury bonds fell for the third day in a row on Monday, continuing to reduce last week's gains due to signs of easing inflationary pressure.