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Silverbat : Inflation will be gone followed by transitional contraction of soft landing.
SpyderCallOP Silverbat:
A soft landing is what I see playing out on the economic data. I think the market is already pricing in the soft landing possibly. But I'm not certain on that.
One thing that could be a worry is if inflation falls too fast and for too long. this would be very bad for any economy.
Silverbat SpyderCallOP: CPI will be up again after Oct-Nov based on its annual cycle,another 0.5% hike?
73582006 : 前一段时间通货膨胀導致股票跳水
SpyderCallOP Silverbat: Who knows. Europe, UK, and Australia paused and then hiked again. They haven't signaled a pause yet. However, the Fed has signaled a decrease in interest rates going further, so it will take a big increase in inflation to change that narrative. But anything can happen in these crazy markets
iamiam : spoiler, it's 3
SpyderCallOP iamiam: Who knows. We have been following the Volker era almost to a T since the pandemic. We might as well just keep going.
iamiam SpyderCallOP: the key is housing. it's all about housing. to few houses too many people. rates can not come down. same as the 70s
SpyderCallOP iamiam: right. that is why home builders numbers are up. they are trying to catch up the the demand. this should effect housing prices. Actually this past economic data showed that housing prices fell more last month than they have fallen in over 30 years. Powell said there should be a housing correction but since the pandemic housing prices have only gone up. This is the first drop in a while and it is a big one. Maybe this is just the tip of the iceburg. I cant call this one but i will be ready for the ride which ever direction it goes.
iamiam SpyderCallOP: I think that's misleading because my area is building houses like crazy and my home value keeps going up. there is no drop on prices here only increases. what that number is reflecting is an exodus from large population centers like California, new York, illinois to lower one's. the problem we have is no one wants to sell here.
Notorious DAVe : Need more Lou channels to convince people a piece of crap is a diamond
Newbee4 Notorious DAVe: check out $Stellar (XLM.CC)$
HardCase1971 : ha !! interesting , I'm curious what your going to be saying after the next 3 months , maybe even within the next week ...
70686139 HardCase1971: Lol and here we are
HardCase1971 : 9 /9 / 2023 -- 3 months -- 12/9/ 2023 , WOW you can't even do simple math , no wonder you can't see , November 19 th is coming ...
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