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Dollar Trades Steady, U.S. Jobs Data Key -- Market Talk
The dollar trades steady after falling Friday following data that showed the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures index, eased to 0.2% month-on-month in April from 0.3% in March.
The biggest engine of the US economy is starting to stall!
Against the backdrop of high interest rates, US consumer income and expenditure growth rates both declined, and the savings rate fell to a 16-month low, amplifying the possibility that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates to a certain extent.
Will the attack on non-agricultural agriculture in May change the Fed's interest rate cut bets?
The US non-farm payrolls data for May will be closely watched by investors to determine whether the April slowdown is only a temporary phenomenon. According to a survey, economists expect the number of non-farm payrolls to increase by 180,000 in May, which is basically the same as the 175,000 increase in April. BNP Paribas estimates that the number of non-farm workers in the US will increase by 200,000 in May, slightly higher than 175,000 in April. If employment growth in the US slows more than expected, it may cause some people to cut interest rates earlier.
US Dollar: PCE Inflation Eases USD Pressure, Traders Eye OPEC+ Meeting
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market fundamentals affecting the US dollar (USD), examining fiscal policy, economic indicators, and monetary policy developments.
The Federal Reserve needs more evidence to confirm that the path to cooling inflation is unlikely to cut interest rates in the short term
This week, Federal Reserve officials received evidence that inflation continues to fall (albeit fluctuating), but policymakers are unlikely to change their positions where more evidence is needed. The Zhitong Finance App learned that government data released on Friday showed that the basic inflation index preferred by the Federal Reserve cooled down last month, and the growth rate was the slowest since this year. Additionally, consumers cut spending in April as the economy grew slower than expected in the first quarter. These reports paint a picture of a moderate economic slowdown, which is what policymakers want to see, and dispels concerns about a renewed acceleration in price growth. But officials may look for it after the next few weeks of meetings
Oil prices fall as Federal Reserve officials hint they won't cut interest rates
Remarks by Federal Reserve officials about keeping interest rates stable led to a drop in oil prices. U.S. gasoline inventories increased by 2 million barrels, indicating a decline in demand. OPEC+ negotiations will extend sharp production cuts to 2025 and stabilize the market.