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BOCOM Int'l expects the mainland China consumer index to continue to improve in the second half of the year.
Zhì tōng cáijīng APP learned that bocom intl issued a report stating that consumer performance has been slightly lower than expected since early 2024, but improvement is expected in the second half of the year. The bank pointed out that the consensus expectation for revenue growth of 104 consumer goods companies in 2024 has been lowered from 10.7% six months ago to 9.6%, indicating that consumer demand has been healthy but slightly lower than market expectations since the beginning of the year. The downgrade is mainly from essential consumption, and the performance of optional consumption roughly meets expectations. However, the bank maintains a cautiously optimistic attitude towards the second half of the year, as the low base in the second half of the year, hot weather, and the continued warming of the tourism industry are conducive to essential consumption, and international sports events such as the Beijing Winter Olympics are expected to have a positive impact on discretionary consumption.
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