10baggerbammOP : the risk today are no greater than the risks that existed two days ago or a month ago the regional banks have already gone through fourth quarter earnings and aside from the disaster that sent it in New York community Bank all of them did relatively well some of them did exceptionally well when it comes to earnings in the reserve ratios. getting back to this leveraged ETF we broke through support slightly on the daily chart right around 62 and a half dollars it could depending upon PPI tomorrow continue to about 58. I would use 58-59 as an entry point but only use half of what you traded in the past so whatever dollar amount use half. the reason is quite simple this might take a little bit longer to reverse than the last trade. additionally Friday we have two major Banks coming out with earnings that are going to set the tone I'm sure the world's going to be glued listening to Jamie Diamond and then on Monday we have Goldman so it's possible that we could have a pullback based off of the earnings of these companies and if they sell off you're going to see a sell-off with the regional Bank ETF I think you could see an absolute worst case of $48 in a bloodbath sell-off. that's where if it happens I would use the second half of your money to buy into average your cost basis down and if you did not buy in because your money was allotted to other investments and you finally freed it up when it was around the 48-49 then you're fortunate because you're going to have tremendous upside.
10baggerbammOP : the Target on this trade would be 70 to $72 it will not be as fast as the prior trade so this may require a little bit more patience in light of the CPI numbers that came out today and possibly PPI and Bank earnings on Friday and Monday but I believe the investors will be rewarded in this trade and I will be buying right alongside at those price points
10baggerbammOP :
if anyone followed my trade you're up nine points as of this morning I am selling and locking in my profit. the regional Bank ETF leverage basket has the ability to push to 77.90 that would represent the daily upper limit of resistance. with that being said I believe the short-term profit is from this trade has been realized. it may continue to push through that resistance level however just as likely as it could push we could revert back to the concern over the amount of commercial loans held by regionals and that will put pressure on the basket as a whole so I'm locking in profits and should we have a consolidation. in the sell-off I will be re-entering and I will let everybody know where the buy price is at that time... well within a few seconds of the open it hits 77.90
congrats to all who did the trade
10baggerbamm : 64.26 lower bollenger band support, 70.63 middle moving average
10baggerbamm : I've traded this leverage regional Bank multiple times I traded it when I was down around four and a half dollars before they did the reverse split I traded it after the reverse split and you have to have the brass balls to go in on these bad days. you have to get rid of the jibber jabber of every idiot savant analyst on TV saying there's a trillion dollars of commercial loans that are going to be coming due between now and the end of 2025. you have to understand that the vast majority of these regional Banks already have significant capital reserve set aside for example look at citizens Bank out of Rhode Island. yes there will be defaults but these are the same people that from January to July of 2023 were screaming that the market's going to retest the October 22 lows. so you have to have the brass ones to buy on these bad days where it's down 3456 and buy half of your position because you may have a follow-up the next day and then buy a little more to average your price down. because the whip saws on the up days we could be back in $90 in 3 or 4 days of trading.
LaLaLiOP : Im really appreciate for your comment, I’m a kind of chart person. Your comments give me the confidence to confirm I’m looking at the right direction.
Shuseido : can share the link of the news?
Seraphicall : Mind sharing the link??
Cow Moo-neyOP Shuseido:
Sorry for the late reply
Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
Cow Moo-neyOP Seraphicall: See link above. Not sure why it gets changed into that title. But you can click on it. It will lead you to the article
Seraphicall Cow Moo-neyOP: Bad again 🫣
Master Corgi : Haiya stock still go up to tts all that matters
Cow Moo-neyOP Master Corgi: Stonks!
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10baggerbammOP : as a result of being higher for longer these banks are going to be marked down continuously and more than likely even through earnings why well we have seen Goldman Sachs come out with fantastic earnings and a few days after the fact that trades down and JP Morgan also well the regional Banks or not Goldman or JP Morgan so they should take a hit. it looks like $50 is where we're going to get some consolidation. I believe it'll come in it's going to touch the moving average at that point. and if I'm right I'm going to take 1/3 of my position at that point regardless of where the market is that day it could be up 200 points down 200 points if we come in at right around $50 per share I will be buying 1/3 of what's allotted why do you ask only one third. because we have Iran as an X Factor what are they going to do when is real retaliates and when and the severity. so if we have a knee-jerk reaction on broader markets where we have a 500 point down day and the banks are taken down another four or five percent I will a lot a third more to lower my cost basis. in other words average down. so there's an update I'm looking for right around $50 as my entry point and I think we should be getting there within the next week or so of trading.