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The Equity Rally Could Last Until the End of the Quarter - Renaissance Macro
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LuckyPiggie : sorry for my ignorance... what's the reason for the massive selloff ?
SpyderCallOP :
inflation, Russian war, interest rates and yield curve inversion. Many people are expecting a policy error by the US fed. there are several reasons.
Prospects for growth dont look good for the future. And everybody is trying to get ahead of the selloff which is exacerbating the selloff. Its like reverse FOMO or something. And the largest holders of US bond or not from the US. Most of the selling is from outside the US as well.
But i think the FED should be smarter than everybody is thinking. They wont let the bond market crash too much. But this looks really really bad. Sometimes the FED can fix a leaking pipe. But even the FED cant stop a waterfall....
This is going to be interesting for sure. It appears times might be changing soon
SpyderCallOP LuckyPiggie: melt down by definition
LuckyPiggie SpyderCallOP:
ohh i see. Thank you for the explanation.
I thought it would be logical to affect the 2,3, 5 year bonds ... but 20yr bonds seems too far away. but if many were sold from outside US ... then not only Fed ,i think the whitehouse will be pressing the panic button very soon .
SpyderCallOP LuckyPiggie: i agree. but i wonder what the Whitehouse can even do? i have no idea to be honest.
Hani Ayyash : Nice I'll check em out! Thanks bro!
Givememymoney : Well written
meruson : first principles - printing lots of money equals inflation
SpyderCallOP meruson: its the basic intro to economics 101. The main stream media is saying inflation is mostly caused by the supply situation or the Russian war. its kind of comical
Mike Hunt : This Is my number one contrarian indicator. I’m going LONG. Last time it was at this position was right before that July and August multi week rally
SpyderCallOP Mike Hunt: sometimes it is good to be greedy when others are fearful. the age old wall street proverb
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