United Sts Brent Oil Fd Lp Unit (BNO) Stock Forum and Discussion

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BNO United Sts Brent Oil Fd Lp Unit

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30.900
-0.120-0.39%

Trading May 2 11:06 ET

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Stock_Drift

Apr 14 07:58

$United Sts Brent Oil Fd Lp Unit(BNO.US)$
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SpyderCall

Mar 17 05:28

Should We Be Worried About Inflation?

All Eyes on the Upcoming Fed Meeting
With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday.
Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year.
If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...

Powell hints at rate cuts this year: What do you think?

BelleWeather : I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes.
I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!

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SpyderCallOP BelleWeather: They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.

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SpyderCallOP BelleWeather: So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.

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BelleWeather : Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?

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SpyderCallOP BelleWeather: They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis.
They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down.
I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment.
Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy.
You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing.
This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.

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SpyderCall

Jan 16 10:11

Nat Gas Ripped. Is it Oil's Time to Shine Now?

Natural Gas Has Already Ripped
Recently, natural gas futures had a big rally. This was mostly due to the spat of severely cold weather that came unexpectedly and spread across the entire United States.
Economic data in the U.S. has shown that natural gas in storage has been dropping since the beginning of December. Based on the laws of supply and demand, this could have added upward pressure on the price of the commodity.
It should be noted that nat...

Oil prices tick up as Middle East tensions rise

SpyderCall

Jan 10 21:43

Red Sea tensions are increasing again. U.S. was involved in its biggest skirmish within the Red Sea in quite a while.

We still need to see a little more upside before we can call it an end to this technical downtrend.
$Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US)$$Brent Last Day Financial Futures(JUL4)(BZmain.US)$$RBOB Gasoline Futures(JUN4)(RBmain.US)$$United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US)$$United Sts Brent Oil Fd Lp Unit(BNO.US)$$United States Gasoline Fund Lp(UGA.US)$

Navigating market waves: Red Sea tensions, shipping and energy

SpyderCall

Jan 4 14:45

Bullish on Commodities?

$Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures(JUN4)(NGmain.US)$
It's official. Nat gas is bullish in the short-term picture. How long will this uptick last?
$Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US)$
Oil has been getting a nice boost the past couple of days. The trend in oil could flip to bullish pretty soon if we see a little more upside. Here is my TA for crude futures in the link below.
Worsening Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East
As always, I am not a financial professional, and this...

SpyderCall: Is It Time to Get Bullish on Natural Gas?

SpyderCall

Jan 2 10:23

Is It Time to Get Bullish on Natural Gas?

$Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures(JUN4)(NGmain.US)$
Natural Gas is Starting to Look More Bullish
Nat gas has had a rough go since November this year. It has lost over 20% of its value since. The unseasonably warmer than usual weather in the norther hemisphere and the slow global economic growth has held down the commodity.
More recently nat gas was consolidating near its lows with a bear flag type of wedge pattern. It seemed as if the commodity was forming a...

Navigating market waves: Red Sea tensions, shipping and energy

Ava Quinn

Dec 8, 2023 18:23

ColumnsInvestment Opportunities and Industries Affected by Fluctuating Oil Prices

If you're interested in my content,please follow me!！
With oil prices continuing to decline, differing views on the outlook have emerged. On the one hand, the IEA believes the market will remain well supplied with the organisation expecting surpluses into next year even if OPEC+ production cuts are extended. However, with demand growth relatively robust, the expectation from
other news sources is that the cartel could actu...

SpyderCall

Oct 31, 2023 09:24

Crude Futures Open Below a Major Fibonacci Level

$Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US)$
Crude's price movements have been showing signs of bearishness the past several weeks. Check out the link below for more info on my bearish thesis.
Why Would Anybody Be Bearish on Oil Right Now
With all of the geopolitical conflicts taking place around the world it can be difficult to be bearish on oil. Personaly, I was bullish on crude even after the Major selloff that started off the month of October. But as m...

Moomoo News Global

Oct 12, 2023 19:56

ColumnsU.S. Stock Market Records Three Consecutive Gains After Israel-Hamas War: What Contributed to the Rises?

Global markets have been roiled by Israel's recent declaration of war following its bombardment by Gaza-based group Hamas. The conflict has had immediate financial effects, including higher prices for oil and gold, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a decline in airline stocks due to potential Middle East destabilization.
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones has expressed concerns regardin...

Lex Billionz

Sep 19, 2023 08:39

$United Sts Brent Oil Fd Lp Unit(BNO.US)$ opec a cartel ?

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