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Is it certain that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week? Deutsche Bank: If inflation continues to weaken, a cut of 50 basis points may occur in early 2025.
The European Central Bank will announce its December interest rate decision on Thursday, with the market widely expecting a 25 basis point rate cut. Goldman Sachs indicated that this possibility is quite high based on the weak economic outlook for the Eurozone, inflation being lower than expected, and recent statements from the governing council. Deutsche Bank believes that if the economy continues to weaken and inflation in the services sector continues to decline, the European Central Bank may cut rates by 50 basis points in early 2025.
EUR: Willingness to Go Lower After Some Positioning Adjustment in Recent Days – ING