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Dongguan Securities: If the banking sector's “offense and defense” logic is not changed, the potential disadvantages of the fundamental industry are expected to be exhausted
The banking sector's “balance offense and defense” logic does not change the fundamental level. After many rounds of adjustments such as many interest rate cuts, accelerated exposure of real estate risks, rate cuts, and loan repricing in the first quarter, the first quarter results fell to a low level, and the potential shortfall in the industry is expected to be exhausted.
Ping An Securities: The fundamentals of the banking sector are marginal and stable, and we continue to pay attention to dividend allocation values
The average dividend rate in the banking sector for the past 12 months is at a historically high premium level compared to risk-free interest rates measured by 10-year treasury bond yields, and continues to expand, and dividend attractiveness continues to increase.
Orient Securities: Under the guidance of a smooth investment pace, bank credit investment is expected to increase year-on-year in the second quarter
The Zhitong Finance App learned that Orient Securities released a research report saying that looking ahead to the fundamentals of listed banks in the second quarter, and guided by a smooth investment pace, Q2 credit investment is expected to increase year-on-year. The pressure on interest spreads is expected to weaken marginally, and it is expected that interest rates on newly issued loans will stabilize in Q2-Q3. Asset quality is stable overall, but poor forward-looking indicators are rising marginally, so we need to pay attention to the limited room for credit costs to decline. Operating pressure is expected to slow down in the second quarter, and the revenue structure may improve. 1) The pressure to narrow interest spreads has weakened, and combined credit investment may increase year-on-year. The growth rate of net interest income in the second quarter is expected to rise marginally. 2) Net processing fee revenue is expected to continue
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