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Standard Chartered: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 125 basis points from the current period to the third quarter of next year. The housing market in Hong Kong is expected to stabilize in an L-shaped manner next year.
Although the usa's interest rate cut is slower than expected in both magnitude and speed, Hong Kong silver has reacted quite quickly to follow the usa's interest rate cut, hence it is expected that the real estate market will stabilize in an L-shaped manner next year.
Ke Erui Research Center: In November, the performance of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 16.6% month-on-month, with high investment focus and concentration.
Looking ahead to the market, Ke Rui believes that December coincides with the performance sprint season for real estate companies, and it is possible that some real estate companies will carry out year-end promotions to boost their performance. Considering this impact, overall transaction volumes are expected to rise month-on-month, showing a slight uptick.
China Finger Research Institute: In the 49th week of 2024, the sales area of new houses in 30 cities was 3.13 million square meters, a decrease of 28.7% compared to the previous period, and an increase of 21% year-on-year.
In the 49th week of 2024 (12.01-12.07), the new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 3.13 million square meters, a decrease of 28.7% from the previous period and an increase of 21% year-on-year.
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
Will the first home loan interest rate in Qingdao be raised to 3.1%? Several local banks responded.
① Most bank branch staff have indicated that they have not yet received any notification about an increase; a few bank branch personnel, however, admitted that there is a possibility of an increase; ② The cost and revenue of mortgage lending need to be balanced, and some banks previously offered favorable interest rates that are generally at the extreme position of such a smooth line. Even if there are adjustments, mortgage rates remain at a relatively low level overall.
What "bottlenecks" are faced when repurchasing existing land? Real estate companies: price is one important factor.
The "stumbling block" issues that arise in revitalizing idle inventory land include the difficulty of reaching a consensus on the recycling price of the original plots between companies and the government. If the land is reclaimed at the current market price, the willingness of companies to participate is not high. There are many restrictions on the adjustment of land types, which involve the need to make additional land price payments; Analysts believe that the inventory idle land that can generate incremental value and achieve financial balance after being reclaimed, or the focus of current local government acquisitions.
Venture118 : Nothing concrete, I’m not surprised…. Continue like tis may go back to last low
spirit99 : China to almost double support for unfinished housing projects to $737 billion
【官方定调,房地产终于触底】https://www.backchina.com/news/2024/10/18/939490.html
103725026 : What happened?
103725026 : Oh, no movement.