.TYX Treasury Yield 30 Years
- 45.320
- 0.0000.00%
Fed Rate Doubts Have Options Traders Covering Both Hikes and Cuts
Treasury options traders are protecting against everything from multiple interest-rate cuts this year to a hike ahead of the US Federal Reserve meeting this week.
The Federal Reserve's $34.5 Trillion Problem
In a recent interview, Crescat Capital macro strategist Tavi Costa told Kitco News that soaring debt levels could ultimately render the central bank “powerless” and “irrelevant” in the inflation fight.
Fangzheng Securities: The US economy is sluggish, real inflation, and interest rates on US bonds are difficult to lower
There is a risk that the current market interest rate cut of 1.4 times/35 bps will continue to fall, and there is a risk that interest rates on 10-year US Treasury bonds will rise to 4.8-5.0%.
Stubborn inflation made the Fed's dream of cutting interest rates drift farther and farther away, and the US bond market was sold off
US Treasury yields rose to 2024 highs, and given evidence that pressure on US prices continues, people have doubts about the ability of the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates later this year.
Will US stocks be saved this week? The Federal Reserve's “favorite” inflation index, tech giants' earnings reports are coming
The Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure and earnings reports from big tech companies are coming this week.
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield rise to 5%? Public equity giants warn: breaking through 4.75% or triggering a “wave of sell-offs”
According to data from US public fund company Vanguard, the US Treasury bond market is approaching a level that could trigger a large-scale sell-off, or will push the 10-year US Treasury yield to 5%.
Traders Pile Into Contrarian Bet That Fed Will Front-Run Cuts
Traders in the interest-rate futures market are piling into a contrarian bet that would pay off in the event of aggressive Federal Reserve monetary easing this year.
US bond yields have risen, and Powell has changed his attitude! Is gold facing a new round of challenges or opportunities?
Gold prices held slightly below record highs on Wednesday (April 17), as safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical risks in the Middle East offset the pressure on rising US dollar and US bond yields. As of press release, gold retested $2,390 to $2389.59 per ounce, which is not far from a record high.
The International Monetary Fund warns the US about spending and debt inflation
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) unusually directly criticized US policymakers on Tuesday, saying that America's recent outstanding performance in advanced economies is partly due to unsustainable fiscal policy impetus.
US bond buying forces tend to wait and see, and the “anchor of global asset pricing” is brewing a wild dance?
US inflation and economic growth data once again hit expectations of interest rate cuts; swap traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by only 25 basis points in 2024, while 50 basis points are optimistic expectations.
US inflation exceeding expectations is stinging the nerves of the market! Traders are repricing global interest rate prospects, and the bond market has set off a new wave of sell-offs
As the higher-than-expected inflation data released earlier by the US prompted the market to quickly reprice global monetary policy prospects, traders are betting that the ECB and the Bank of England will cut interest rates less and more slowly this year.
The market is like “Fright Bird”! Are traders shorting US debt and running out of tonight's CPI?
A large number of short bets may cause the bond to fall short after the CPI data is released.
Treasury Yields Nudge Down From Four-month Highs as Inflation Report Looms
Bond yields fell on Tuesday, but remained just below their highest since November following recent data that showed the U.S. economy in relatively good health.
Equity Markets Flat as Survey Shows Mixed Consumer Inflation Outlook
US benchmark equity indexes closed little changed Monday, as a survey showed mixed inflation expectations among consumers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the trading session at 38,892.8, wh
US Benchmark Stock Indexes Rise Intraday, Treasury Yields Continue Rally
US benchmark indexes rose after midday on Monday as government bond yields rose, extending gains from last week, and investors weighed the probability of an interest-rate cut versus a pause in June following Friday's nonfarm payrolls.
The sell-off in US Treasury bonds intensifies traders' expectations of delaying the first rate cut
A tough start to the year for bond traders was made worse, as critical US employment data showed that the labor market was active, with little pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.
Gold Hits All-time Record High Amid Geopolitical Tensions, Higher US Yields
Gold climbs to $2,280, driven by Middle East tensions, strong US data.
US Treasury bonds fell sharply, and ISM manufacturing data lowered the probability of interest rate cuts in June to less than 50%
After a US manufacturing indicator rose to an expansion range for the first time since 2022, bond traders lowered their expectations for monetary easing this year. At one point, the probability of starting interest rate cuts in June was less than 50%.
Why Treasury Yields Are Rising Despite Rate-Cut Expectations -- Update
The Federal Reserve keeps promising interest-rate cuts. Treasury yields, a key driver of mortgage rates and other borrowing costs, keep rising anyway.
Treasury Yields Steady as Traders Eye Critical Inflation Data at End of Week
Bond yields were mildly mixed early Tuesday in cautious trading as investors eyed important inflation data at the end of the week.