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Why Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's (SZSE:002749) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 21, 2022 20:20

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002749) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical

SZSE:002749 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to December 2021, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥287m, well over the CN¥206.2m it reported in profit. Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical.

Our Take On Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Profit Performance

Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 20% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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