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Sicher Elevator Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301056) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/E Ratio

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 21, 2022 19:25

The Sicher Elevator Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301056) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Sicher Elevator's P/E ratio of 27.8x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 31x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Sicher Elevator has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this respectable earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for Sicher Elevator

SZSE:301056 Price Based on Past Earnings April 21st 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sicher Elevator, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Sicher Elevator's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 26% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 34% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sicher Elevator is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Sicher Elevator's P/E

Following Sicher Elevator's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Sicher Elevator currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sicher Elevator that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Sicher Elevator. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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