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There's No Escaping Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Co., Ltd's (SHSE:600192) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 8 18:17

Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Co., Ltd (SHSE:600192) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Although its price has surged higher, Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:600192 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024

How Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Has Been Performing

For instance, Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 3.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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