Jinwu Financial News | Chinese brokerage stocks rose strongly, with Hongye Futures (03678) up 43.7%, China Union Securities (01456) up 6.43%, CICC (03908) up 5.99%, China Galaxy (06881) up 6.22%, CITIC Securities (06030) up 5.84%, and Orient Securities (03958) up 5.18%.
Guojin Securities said that the subsequent market catalyst in the brokerage sector may mainly come from improved liquidity, high investment flexibility, marginal policy relaxation, and merger and acquisition expectations. ① Expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are clearly heating up, and it is expected that domestic interest rate cuts will continue to free up room for domestic interest rate cuts. From a historical perspective, the improvement in market liquidity will have a certain catalytic effect on the brokerage sector. ② The 24H2 investment side's performance base has declined significantly. The growth rate of investment performance in the second half of the year will show high elasticity. In addition, capital inflows to the science and technology innovation sector may bring about a recovery in follow-up investment performance. ③ Marginal regulatory easing, financing-side policies in the “Nine Rules of the New Country” and “1+N” supporting policies have basically been implemented, and more investment-side reform related policies are expected to be introduced. This week, the Securities Regulatory Commission held a symposium on studying and implementing the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee to further comprehensively deepen capital market reform and foreign-funded institutions. At the meeting, Chairman Wu Qing said that it is studying and planning a package of measures to further comprehensively deepen capital market reform and opening up. ④ Expectations of industry mergers and acquisitions.
Guohai Securities said that after the Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee, liquidity continued to improve and interest rate cuts arrived as scheduled. Compared with other financial sectors such as insurance and banking, the brokerage sector has undoubtedly benefited more from this change, and we should continue to pay attention to the catalytic effects brought about by this level of factors. According to the bank, “strict supervision” will continue. This is undeniable, but the bank reiterated that the negative impact at the regulatory and policy levels is actually quite fully reflected in the current undervaluation, and its suppression of the sector may be gradually mitigated. In the future, the bank needs to focus on reducing costs and increasing the efficiency of the industry, exceeding expectations, and sector market catalyzation brought about by accelerated mergers, acquisitions and restructuring.