There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So on that note, COFCO Technology & Industry (SZSE:301058) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for COFCO Technology & Industry:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.099 = CN¥221m ÷ (CN¥4.0b - CN¥1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, COFCO Technology & Industry has an ROCE of 9.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Construction industry average of 6.4%.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for COFCO Technology & Industry compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering COFCO Technology & Industry for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
While in absolute terms it isn't a high ROCE, it's promising to see that it has been moving in the right direction. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 9.9%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 112%. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that COFCO Technology & Industry has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 44%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Our Take On COFCO Technology & Industry's ROCE
A company that is growing its returns on capital and can consistently reinvest in itself is a highly sought after trait, and that's what COFCO Technology & Industry has. Given the stock has declined 26% in the last year, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. With that in mind, we believe the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing COFCO Technology & Industry, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While COFCO Technology & Industry isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.