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Zhejiang Tiantie Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300587) Shares Climb 25% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 22 19:12

Zhejiang Tiantie Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300587) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 47% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Zhejiang Tiantie Industry as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300587 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

What Does Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Zhejiang Tiantie Industry over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Tiantie Industry?

Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's top line. As a result, it also grew revenue by 27% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Zhejiang Tiantie Industry currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Tiantie Industry has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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