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Camping World Holdings (NYSE:CWH) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Camping World Holdings (NYSE:CWH) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

露营世界控股公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CWH)似乎在使用大量债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 14:09

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Camping World Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CWH) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,露营世界控股有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CWH)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Camping World Holdings Carry?

露营世界控股公司背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Camping World Holdings had US$3.02b of debt, an increase on US$2.62b, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,露营世界控股公司在一年内有30.2亿美元的债务,比26.2亿美元有所增加。而且它没有太多现金,因此其净负债大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CWH Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:CWH 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 5 月 22 日

How Strong Is Camping World Holdings' Balance Sheet?

露营世界控股公司的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Camping World Holdings had liabilities of US$2.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.82b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$29.7m in cash and US$254.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.59b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,露营世界控股公司在12个月内到期的负债为20.6亿美元,12个月以后到期的负债为28.2亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有2970万美元的现金和2.545亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额45.9亿美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$1.75b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Camping World Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这里的缺陷严重影响了这家价值17.5亿美元的公司本身,就好像一个孩子在装满书本、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。归根结底,如果其债权人要求还款,Camping World Holdings可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Camping World Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.98 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Camping World Holdings's EBIT was down 55% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Camping World Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于息税前利润仅为利息支出的0.98倍,露营世界控股的股东面临着净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润比率高(10.0)和利息覆盖率相当薄弱的双重打击。这意味着我们会认为它有沉重的债务负担。更糟糕的是,露营世界控股公司的息税前利润比去年下降了55%。如果收益长期保持这样的水平,那么偿还债务的可能性很小。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定露营世界控股公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Camping World Holdings created free cash flow amounting to 4.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,露营世界控股公司创造的自由现金流占其息税前利润的4.9%,表现平淡无奇。对我们来说,低现金转换率会引发一点偏执狂,那就是偿还债务的能力。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Camping World Holdings's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Camping World Holdings is carrying heavy debt load. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Camping World Holdings (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

从表面上看,Camping World Holdings的息税前利润增长率使我们对该股持初步看法,其总负债水平并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。此外,其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例也未能激发信心。考虑到我们上面提到的所有内容,可以公平地说,露营世界控股公司背负着沉重的债务负担。如果你开枪就有可能被烧死,所以我们可能会给这只股票一个广阔的余地。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了 Camping World Holdings 的 5 个警告标志(2 个不容忽视!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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