With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Hospitality industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Carnival Corporation & plc's (NYSE:CCL) P/S ratio of 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
NYSE:CCL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024
How Carnival Corporation & Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Carnival Corporation & as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Carnival Corporation & will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Carnival Corporation & would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 51%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.8% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Carnival Corporation & is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Carnival Corporation &'s P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
When you consider that Carnival Corporation &'s revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Carnival Corporation & (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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