Forex Today: Fed rate cut bets and US CPI come to the fore


The Greenback extended the discouraging start to the week and retreated to multi-day lows as market participants digested sticky US producer prices and the neutral message from Chair Powell ahead of the release of US CPI on Wednesday.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, May 15:

The USD Index (DXY) added to Monday’s decline and broke below the 105.00 level against the backdrop of further weakness in US yields. On May 15, the US Inflation Rate takes centre stage seconded by Retail Sales, Business Inventories, the NAHB Housing Market Index, weekly Mortgage Applications by MBA and TIC Flows. In addition, Fed’s Kashkari and Bowman are due to speak.

EUR/USD maintained its bullish bias and advanced to five-week highs past the 1.0800 barrier. Another estimate of the EMU Q1 GDP Growth Rate is expected on May 15 along Industrial Production in the broader euro area.

GBP/USD rose further north of the key 200-day SMA, approaching at the same time the 1.2600 hurdle. The next release of note in the UK calendar will be the BoE’s Financial Stability Report on May 16.

USD/JPY printed its sixth day of gains out of the last seven, this time surpassing the 156.00 barrier to clinch new two-week peaks. Next on tap on the Japanese docket will be the preliminary Q1 GDP Growth Rate, final Industrial Production readings and Foreign Bond Investment on May 16.

AUD/USD kept its consolidative mood in place in the upper end of the range, always below the May peak around 0.6650. In Australia, the Wage Price Index is due on May 15.

Prices of WTI faded Monday’s advance and refocused on the downside on the back of the unchanged OPEC monthly report and the upside surprise in US producer prices.

Prices of Gold resumed their upward bias and flirted with the $2,360 zone per troy ounce in response to the weaker dollar and lower US yields. It cousin Silver added to Monday’s uptick and flirted with monthly highs around $28.75 per ounce.

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