Playtika Holding Corp. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

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It's been a pretty great week for Playtika Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:PLTK) shareholders, with its shares surging 11% to US$8.58 in the week since its latest quarterly results. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of US$651m were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 8.4% to hit US$0.14 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Playtika Holding

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Following last week's earnings report, Playtika Holding's 13 analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be US$2.58b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 21% to US$0.66. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.57b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.66 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$9.93. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Playtika Holding, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$20.00 and the most bearish at US$7.00 per share. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 0.8% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 0.9% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 8.2% per year. So it's pretty clear that Playtika Holding is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Playtika Holding's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Playtika Holding. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Playtika Holding analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Playtika Holding that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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