Robinhood Markets, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 225%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

In this article:

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish. Robinhood Markets delivered a significant beat to revenue and earnings per share (EPS) expectations, hitting US$618m-11% above indicated-andUS$0.18-225% above forecasts- respectively Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Robinhood Markets

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Robinhood Markets from 13 analysts is for revenues of US$2.40b in 2024. If met, it would imply a meaningful 18% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 255% to US$0.51. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.24b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.26 in 2024. There's been a pretty noticeable increase in sentiment, with the analysts upgrading revenues and making a massive increase in earnings per share in particular.

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Robinhood Markets 5.4% to US$19.93on the back of these upgrades. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Robinhood Markets at US$30.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$12.50. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Robinhood Markets' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 24% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.1% p.a. over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.5% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Robinhood Markets to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Robinhood Markets' earnings potential next year. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Robinhood Markets analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Robinhood Markets you should know about.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Advertisement