Gogo Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

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Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ:GOGO) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$104m, some 8.0% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$0.23, 250% ahead of expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Gogo

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After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Gogo are now predicting revenues of US$418.2m in 2024. If met, this would reflect an okay 3.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to crater 67% to US$0.41 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$416.2m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.33 in 2024. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the considerable lift to earnings per share expectations following these results.

The consensus price target was unchanged at US$12.80, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Gogo analyst has a price target of US$16.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$10.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Gogo shareholders.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. For example, we noticed that Gogo's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 4.9% growth to the end of 2024 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 3.9% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 3.4% annually. So it looks like Gogo is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Gogo's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$12.80, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Gogo. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Gogo analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Gogo .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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