Kontoor Brands, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

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As you might know, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (NYSE:KTB) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong numbers. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 3.8% to hit US$631m. Kontoor Brands reported statutory earnings per share (EPS) US$1.05, which was a notable 16% above what the analysts had forecast. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Kontoor Brands

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Following last week's earnings report, Kontoor Brands' six analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be US$2.60b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 15% to US$4.62. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.59b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.59 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The consensus price target rose 13% to US$73.00despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Kontoor Brands' earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Kontoor Brands analyst has a price target of US$88.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$42.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 1.5% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 1.3% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 6.0% annually. So although Kontoor Brands is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Kontoor Brands' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Kontoor Brands. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Kontoor Brands going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kontoor Brands that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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