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It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy CapitaLand Investment Limited (SGX:9CI) For Its Next Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27 20:30

CapitaLand Investment Limited (SGX:9CI) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase CapitaLand Investment's shares before the 2nd of May in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 10th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be S$0.12 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of S$0.12 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, CapitaLand Investment has a trailing yield of approximately 4.5% on its current stock price of S$2.64. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year, CapitaLand Investment paid out 339% of its profit to shareholders in the form of dividends. This is not sustainable behaviour and requires a closer look on behalf of the purchaser. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 95% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given CapitaLand Investment's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SGX:9CI Historic Dividend April 28th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. CapitaLand Investment's earnings per share have plummeted approximately 42% a year over the previous five years.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. CapitaLand Investment's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were two years ago. When earnings are declining yet the dividends are flat, typically the company is either paying out a higher portion of its earnings, or paying out of cash or debt on the balance sheet, neither of which is ideal.

Final Takeaway

Is CapitaLand Investment worth buying for its dividend? Not only are earnings per share declining, but CapitaLand Investment is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. This is a clearly suboptimal combination that usually suggests the dividend is at risk of being cut. If not now, then perhaps in the future. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of CapitaLand Investment.

With that being said, if you're still considering CapitaLand Investment as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for CapitaLand Investment (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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