share_log

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd. (SZSE:002808) Shares Dive 32%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 19:44

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd. (SZSE:002808) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 81% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S ratio of 4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in China is also close to 3.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002808 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

What Does Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 60% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies looks to be in line with the rest of the Electronic industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We find it unexpected that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment